2019 Week 2 · Mon, Sep 16, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

Cleveland BrownsWinner

New York Jets

CLE -6.5 ✓U 45.5 ✓Browns closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Cleveland Browns 23–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 11:32, NYJ +5% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 11:32CLE — NYJ CLE ball · 2nd & 12CLE 76%

(11:32) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-O.Beckham ran ob at NYJ 4 for 33 yards (21-N.Hairston).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 11:32NYJ +5% win prob(11:32) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 13-O.Beckham ran ob at NYJ 4 for 33 yards (21-N.Hairston).
Q1 · 7:58NYJ +5% win prob(7:58) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep left to 88-D.Harris [33-J.Adams]. PENALTY on NYJ-33-J.Adams, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at 50 - No Play.
Q1 · 12:49NYJ +4% win prob(12:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 30-D.Johnson to NYJ 35 for 27 yards (46-N.Hewitt). Penalty on NYJ-34-B.Poole, Defensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 9:49CLE +4% win prob(9:49) 19-T.Siemian sacked at NYJ 13 for -7 yards (95-M.Garrett).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	Jets
Offensive plays	58	59
Total yards	375 (edge)	262
Yards per play	6.5 (edge)	4.4
Expected points added / play	-0.04 (edge)	-0.36
Success rate	33% (edge)	27%
Dropback rate	64%	59%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.04 (edge)	-0.46
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.20 (edge)	-0.23
Third downs	4/13 (edge)	2/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	5
First downs gained on snaps	13 (edge)	11
Sacks taken	3 (edge)	4
Turnovers	1	1

Browns won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.04 expected points added per play vs -0.36.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 19	12	76	4:33	Turnover on downs
2	NYJ	NYJ 15	5	-2	1:40	Punt
3	CLE	CLE 48	6	7	2:32	Turnover on downs
4	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	4	0:57	Punt
5	CLE	CLE 28	6	18	2:40	Punt
6	NYJ	NYJ 9	7	-1	4:15	Punt
7	CLE	CLE 47	6	48	3:07	Touchdown
8	NYJ	NYJ 25	12	42	7:20	Turnover on downs
9	CLE	CLE 25	8	25	1:59	Punt
10	NYJ	NYJ 10	4	2	0:22	Punt
11	CLE	NYJ 40	5	25	0:35	Turnover on downs
12	NYJ	NYJ 12	5	0	2:11	Punt
13	CLE	CLE 45	4	6	1:48	Punt
14	NYJ	NYJ 13	4	9	2:00	Punt
15	CLE	CLE 34	4	6	1:51	Punt
16	NYJ	NYJ 29	8	60	3:27	Turnover on downs
17	CLE	CLE 11	2	89	0:11	Touchdown
18	NYJ	NYJ 19	5	8	1:25	Punt
19	CLE	CLE 33	4	8	1:31	Punt
20	NYJ	NYJ 12	6	45	2:46	Turnover on downs
21	CLE	CLE 43	5	28	3:00	Interception
22	NYJ	NYJ 36	5	52	2:51	Fumble
23	CLE	CLE 10	10	39	5:54	Punt
24	NYJ	NYJ 11	6	43	1:05	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 89 scrimmage yards over 2 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -6.5
Closing total: 45.5
CLE moneyline: -278
NYJ moneyline: +241

Browns closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 20.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 26 — under by 19.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather: 72°F, wind 3 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: CLE 8 days · NYJ 8 days
Coaches: Freddie Kitchens vs Adam Gase