2019 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2019 · Lambeau Field

Minnesota Vikings

Green Bay PackersWinner

GB -3 ✓U 43 ✓Packers closed -3 and covered, winning by 5.

Green Bay Packers 21–16. Biggest swing: Q4 5:17, MIN +34% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 5:17MIN — GB MIN ball · 1st & 8GB 50%

(5:17) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right intended for 14-S.Diggs INTERCEPTED by 20-K.King at GB -9. Touchback.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 5:17MIN +34% win prob(5:17) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right intended for 14-S.Diggs INTERCEPTED by 20-K.King at GB -9. Touchback.
Q3 · 9:19GB +18% win prob(9:19) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 14-S.Diggs for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MIN-14-S.Diggs, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q2 · 1:28GB +7% win prob(1:28) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 12-C.Beebe to GB 3 for 61 yards (26-D.Savage) [55-Z.Smith]. Penalty on MIN-19-A.Thielen, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting. Penalty on GB-23-J.Alexander, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting.
Q3 · 4:49GB +7% win prob(4:49) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep right to 19-A.Thielen to MIN 48 for 30 yards (23-J.Alexander). Green Bay challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands. (Timeout #2.)

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Vikings	Packers
Offensive plays	60	69
Total yards	421 (edge)	335
Yards per play	7.0 (edge)	4.9
Expected points added / play	-0.07 (edge)	-0.12
Success rate	38%	39% (edge)
Dropback rate	58%	52%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.32	-0.00 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.28 (edge)	-0.25
Third downs	4/13	5/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	9 (edge)	6
First downs gained on snaps	15	20 (edge)
Sacks taken	1 (edge)	2
Turnovers	4	2 (edge)

Vikings outgained Packers 421–335 but lost the turnover battle 4–2. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	GB	GB 25	6	75	2:10	Touchdown
2	MIN	MIN 25	9	46	3:34	Turnover on downs
3	GB	GB 37	12	68	5:58	Touchdown
4	MIN	MIN 25	5	7	2:02	Fumble
5	GB	MIN 33	5	33	2:00	Touchdown
6	MIN	MIN 25	4	75	0:16	Touchdown
7	GB	GB 25	4	22	1:24	Fumble
8	MIN	MIN 28	4	2	0:57	Punt
9	GB	GB 30	4	9	2:11	Punt
10	MIN	MIN 21	4	8	1:31	Punt
11	GB	GB 23	7	9	3:01	Punt
12	MIN	MIN 40	3	4	0:52	Interception
13	GB	MIN 47	6	20	2:31	Turnover on downs
14	MIN	MIN 27	6	65	0:42	Turnover on downs
15	GB	GB 25	5	-6	0:28	Punt
16	MIN	MIN 37	1	2	0:23	End of half
17	MIN	MIN 25	5	9	1:11	Punt
18	GB	GB 25	6	27	3:42	Fumble
19	MIN	GB 42	4	52	0:55	Touchdown
20	GB	GB 25	8	15	3:38	Punt
21	MIN	MIN 12	9	53	4:43	Punt
22	GB	GB 1	5	19	1:11	Punt
23	MIN	MIN 23	6	26	2:52	Punt
24	GB	GB 22	4	4	1:40	Punt
25	MIN	MIN 40	9	52	4:58	Interception
26	GB	GB 20	4	8	1:04	Punt
27	MIN	MIN 24	4	3	0:52	Punt
28	GB	GB 21	8	32	3:08	Punt
29	MIN	MIN 20	1	17	0:06	Fumble

0 of 29 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 75 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: GB -3
Closing total: 43
MIN moneyline: +148
GB moneyline: -165

Packers closed -3 and covered, winning by 5.

Total closed 43; the game landed 37 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lambeau Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 72°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: John Hussey
Rest: MIN 7 days · GB 10 days
Coaches: Mike Zimmer vs Matt LaFleur

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.