2019 Week 2 · Sun, Sep 15, 2019 · Paul Brown Stadium

San Francisco 49ersWinner

Cincinnati Bengals

CIN -1 upsetO 46 ✓Bengals closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

San Francisco 49ers 41–17 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 14:15, SF +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 14:15SF — CIN SF ball · 2nd & 20SF 69%

(14:15) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left intended for 13-R.James Jr. INTERCEPTED by 22-W.Jackson III at SF 45. 22-W.Jackson III pushed ob at SF 26 for 19 yards (85-G.Kittle).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 14:15SF +12% win prob(14:15) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left intended for 13-R.James Jr. INTERCEPTED by 22-W.Jackson III at SF 45. 22-W.Jackson III pushed ob at SF 26 for 19 yards (85-G.Kittle).
Q1 · 11:08CIN +11% win prob(11:08) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep left to 83-T.Boyd to SF 22 for 47 yards (23-A.Witherspoon).
Q2 · 1:20SF +9% win prob(1:20) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep right intended for 85-T.Eifert INTERCEPTED by 56-K.Alexander at SF 33. 56-K.Alexander pushed ob at SF 33 for no gain (85-T.Eifert). Penalty on CIN-68-B.Hart, Offensive Holding, declined.
Q1 · 14:54SF +8% win prob(14:54) 14-A.Dalton sacked at CIN 4 for -8 yards (91-A.Armstead).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	49ers	Bengals
Offensive plays	66	65
Total yards	573 (edge)	316
Yards per play	8.7 (edge)	4.9
Expected points added / play	0.45 (edge)	-0.03
Success rate	61% (edge)	37%
Dropback rate	42%	72%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.68 (edge)	0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	0.28 (edge)	-0.35
Third downs	5/9 (edge)	9/18
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	15 (edge)	4
First downs gained on snaps	27 (edge)	13
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	4
Turnovers	1	1

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.45 expected points added per play vs -0.03.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	CIN 12	5	0	1:55	Punt
2	SF	SF 49	5	51	1:52	Touchdown
3	CIN	CIN 31	11	69	4:30	Touchdown
4	SF	SF 16	10	84	4:07	Touchdown
5	CIN	CIN 25	7	6	3:17	Punt
6	SF	SF 25	2	0	0:15	Interception
7	CIN	SF 26	4	7	1:14	Turnover on downs
8	SF	SF 42	7	58	2:41	Touchdown
9	CIN	CIN 20	11	56	3:12	Turnover on downs
10	SF	SF 25	6	46	2:15	Punt
11	CIN	CIN 3	10	38	3:28	Interception
12	SF	SF 33	10	52	1:12	Turnover on downs
13	CIN	—	1	0	0:02	End of half
14	SF	SF 25	9	85	2:50	Touchdown
15	CIN	CIN 25	8	1	2:58	Punt
16	SF	SF 31	8	59	4:38	Turnover on downs
17	CIN	CIN 25	5	7	1:25	Punt
18	SF	SF 18	7	82	3:13	Touchdown
19	CIN	CIN 10	5	5	1:26	Punt
20	SF	SF 40	10	39	6:25	Turnover on downs
21	CIN	CIN 29	10	55	3:05	Turnover on downs
22	SF	SF 26	5	17	2:06	Punt
23	CIN	CIN 28	5	72	1:09	Touchdown
24	SF	SF 25	3	0	0:45	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 85 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CIN -1
Closing total: 46
SF moneyline: -103
CIN moneyline: -107

Bengals closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46; the game landed 58 — over by 12.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Paul Brown Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 81°F, wind 5 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: SF 7 days · CIN 7 days
Coaches: Kyle Shanahan vs Zac Taylor