2019 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field

Detroit LionsWinner

Philadelphia Eagles

PHI -4 upsetO 45 ✓Eagles closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Detroit Lions 27–24 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 1:53, DET +22% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 1:53DET — PHI DET ball · 4th & 10DET 80%

(1:53) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED (27-M.Jenkins), Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin, RECOVERED by PHI-32-R.Douglas at PHI 42. 32-R.Douglas to DET 40 for 18 yards (77-F.Ragnow). PENALTY on PHI-27-M.Jen

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 1:53DET +22% win prob(1:53) 5-M.Prater 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED (27-M.Jenkins), Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin, RECOVERED by PHI-32-R.Douglas at PHI 42. 32-R.Douglas to DET 40 for 18 yards (77-F.Ragnow). PENALTY on PHI-27-M.Jenkins, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at DET 40.
Q2 · 2:00DET +22% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass short right to 13-N.Agholor to DET 40 for 5 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by DET-23-D.Slay at DET 40. 23-D.Slay pushed ob at PHI 22 for 38 yards (11-C.Wentz). The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Q4 · 0:49DET +17% win prob(:49) (Shotgun) 11-C.Wentz pass incomplete deep middle to 19-J.Arcega-Whiteside.
Q1 · 11:28PHI +14% win prob4-J.Elliott kicks 65 yards from PHI 35 to DET 0. 39-J.Agnew for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Lions	Eagles
Offensive plays	58	69
Total yards	289	373 (edge)
Yards per play	5.0	5.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.06 (edge)	-0.15
Success rate	36%	38% (edge)
Dropback rate	57%	61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.15 (edge)	-0.09
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.06 (edge)	-0.25
Third downs	6/14	7/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	9 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	16	18 (edge)
Sacks taken	0 (edge)	3
Turnovers	0 (edge)	2

Eagles outgained Lions 373–289 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	PHI	PHI 24	10	50	3:32	Turnover on downs
2	DET	—	2	0	0:14	Defensive touchdown
3	PHI	PHI 25	11	75	4:59	Touchdown
4	DET	DET 25	15	75	7:06	Touchdown
5	PHI	PHI 25	8	28	3:22	Punt
6	DET	DET 20	5	26	2:02	Punt
7	PHI	PHI 10	7	33	3:55	Fumble
8	DET	DET 49	5	44	1:21	Turnover on downs
9	PHI	PHI 15	5	45	1:38	Fumble
10	DET	PHI 22	4	7	0:54	Turnover on downs
11	PHI	PHI 24	3	-3	0:57	End of half
12	DET	DET 25	8	11	2:44	Punt
13	PHI	PHI 16	7	32	2:52	Punt
14	DET	DET 2	6	11	2:25	Punt
15	PHI	DET 47	7	47	2:44	Touchdown
16	DET	DET 25	11	80	4:22	Touchdown
17	PHI	PHI 25	5	-10	1:50	Punt
18	DET	PHI 48	4	0	1:32	Punt
19	PHI	PHI 20	11	63	4:32	Touchdown
20	DET	DET 25	10	35	3:43	Punt
21	PHI	PHI 20	4	8	0:58	Turnover on downs
22	DET	PHI 28	4	0	0:38	Turnover on downs
23	PHI	50	4	5	0:59	Turnover on downs
24	DET	PHI 45	2	0	0:41	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 80 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -4
Closing total: 45
DET moneyline: +188
PHI moneyline: -212

Eagles closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45; the game landed 51 — over by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 84°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Tony Corrente
Rest: DET 7 days · PHI 7 days
Coaches: Matt Patricia vs Doug Pederson