2019 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2019 · StubHub Center
Houston TexansWinner
27
Los Angeles Chargers
20
Houston Texans 27–20. Biggest swing: Q4 9:53, LAC +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(9:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 88-J.Akins for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 9:53LAC +17% win prob(9:53) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 88-J.Akins for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 2:07LAC +16% win prob(2:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short middle to 10-D.Hopkins to LAC 15 for 34 yards (23-R.Jenkins).
- Q1 · 11:19HOU +16% win prob(11:19) 4-D.Watson to HOU 33 for -6 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by LAC-20-D.King at HOU 28. 20-D.King to HOU 15 for 13 yards (74-M.Scharping).
- Q4 · 2:07LAC +14% win prob(2:07) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 13-K.Allen to HOU 42 for 15 yards (32-L.Johnson) [99-J.Watt].
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Texans | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 69 |
| Total yards | 377 (edge) | 366 |
| Yards per play | 7.0 (edge) | 5.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.23 (edge) | 0.02 |
| Success rate | 46% (edge) | 45% |
| Dropback rate | 74% | 77% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.56 (edge) | 0.07 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.72 | -0.14 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/10 (edge) | 5/15 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 7 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 20 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Texans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs 0.02.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | LAC 25 | 5 | 4 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 2 | HOU | HOU 26 | 3 | -3 | 1:36 | Fumble | |
| 3 | LAC | HOU 15 | 4 | 15 | 1:28 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | HOU | HOU 25 | 11 | 39 | 5:28 | Punt | |
| 5 | LAC | LAC 13 | 15 | 87 | 8:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | HOU | HOU 25 | 7 | 61 | 2:21 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | LAC | LAC 25 | 7 | 24 | 3:06 | Punt | |
| 8 | HOU | HOU 6 | 8 | 37 | 3:25 | Punt | |
| 9 | LAC | LAC 11 | 9 | 54 | 1:18 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | HOU | HOU 25 | 4 | 37 | 0:22 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | HOU | HOU 25 | 5 | 8 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 12 | LAC | LAC 26 | 4 | -8 | 1:47 | Punt | |
| 13 | HOU | HOU 45 | 9 | 55 | 3:37 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | LAC | LAC 26 | 8 | 45 | 3:48 | Fumble | |
| 15 | HOU | HOU 27 | 7 | 58 | 2:24 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | LAC | LAC 25 | 9 | 35 | 2:51 | Punt | |
| 17 | HOU | HOU 18 | 8 | 82 | 3:48 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | LAC | LAC 25 | 7 | 50 | 2:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | HOU | HOU 25 | 6 | 3 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 20 | LAC | LAC 16 | 14 | 60 | 4:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | HOU | HOU 19 | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LAC -3
- Closing total
- 49
- HOU moneyline
- +151
- LAC moneyline
- -168
Chargers closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49; the game landed 47 — under by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- StubHub Center
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 87°F, wind 4 mph
- Referee
- Clay Martin
- Rest
- HOU 7 days · LAC 7 days
- Coaches
- Bill O'Brien vs Anthony Lynn