2019 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2019 · CenturyLink Field
New Orleans SaintsWinner
33
Seattle Seahawks
27
New Orleans Saints 33–27. Biggest swing: Q2 7:05, NO +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(7:05) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right tackle to SEA 30 for 22 yards (25-E.Apple, 43-M.Williams). FUMBLES (25-E.Apple), RECOVERED by NO-24-V.Bell at SEA 33. 24-V.Bell for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 7:05NO +17% win prob(7:05) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right tackle to SEA 30 for 22 yards (25-E.Apple, 43-M.Williams). FUMBLES (25-E.Apple), RECOVERED by NO-24-V.Bell at SEA 33. 24-V.Bell for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 10:53SEA +11% win prob(10:53) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 83-D.Moore to NO 45 for 29 yards (23-M.Lattimore).
- Q2 · 2:37NO +11% win prob(2:37) 74-G.Fant reported in as eligible. 32-C.Carson right guard to NO 42 for -1 yards (56-D.Davis, 94-C.Jordan).
- Q1 · 12:19NO +10% win prob(12:19) 4-M.Dickson punts 38 yards to NO 47, Center-69-T.Ott. 11-D.Harris for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Saints | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 51 | 75 |
| Total yards | 265 | 514 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.2 | 6.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.10 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Success rate | 49% (edge) | 37% |
| Dropback rate | 57% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.30 (edge) | 0.30 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 (edge) | -0.81 |
| Third downs | 3/11 | 5/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 11 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 24 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 | 0 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Seahawks outgained Saints 514–265 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 5 | 2:54 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 36 | 3:21 | Punt | |
| 3 | NO | NO 10 | 4 | 18 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 4 | SEA | SEA 36 | 7 | 64 | 3:28 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | NO | NO 33 | 7 | 16 | 2:38 | Punt | |
| 6 | SEA | SEA 2 | 7 | 19 | 3:37 | Punt | |
| 7 | NO | NO 20 | 6 | 23 | 3:29 | Punt | |
| 8 | SEA | SEA 4 | 2 | 26 | 0:50 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 32 | 8 | 31 | 4:17 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | NO | NO 42 | 8 | 58 | 2:00 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 21 | 3 | 63 | 0:33 | End of half | |
| 12 | NO | NO 25 | 14 | 85 | 7:16 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 15 | 1:53 | Punt | |
| 14 | SEA | NO 48 | 7 | 30 | 3:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | NO | NO 13 | 5 | 25 | 2:47 | Punt | |
| 16 | SEA | SEA 22 | 11 | 73 | 3:09 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | NO | NO 22 | 5 | 6 | 0:56 | Punt | |
| 18 | SEA | SEA 19 | 4 | 9 | 1:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | NO | SEA 28 | 9 | 25 | 5:22 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | SEA | SEA 25 | 11 | 75 | 1:31 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | NO | NO 23 | 5 | 9 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 22 | SEA | SEA 18 | 11 | 68 | 1:42 | Touchdown |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 85 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -5
- Closing total
- 44
- NO moneyline
- +199
- SEA moneyline
- -225
Seahawks closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 44; the game landed 60 — over by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- CenturyLink Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 63°F, wind 8 mph
- Referee
- Ronald Torbert
- Rest
- NO 7 days · SEA 7 days
- Coaches
- Sean Payton vs Pete Carroll