2019 Week 3 · Sun, Sep 22, 2019 · Raymond James Stadium
New York GiantsWinner
32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31
New York Giants 32–31 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, NYG +75% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:04) 9-M.Gay 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:04NYG +75% win prob(:04) 9-M.Gay 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-97-Z.Triner, Holder-8-B.Pinion.
- Q4 · 0:34TB +24% win prob(:34) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep right to 13-M.Evans to NYG 9 for 44 yards (20-Ja.Jenkins).
- Q4 · 1:21TB +20% win prob(1:21) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones scrambles up the middle for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 2:15TB +15% win prob(2:15) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 87-S.Shepard to TB 12 for 36 yards (31-J.Whitehead).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Giants | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 72 |
| Total yards | 386 | 499 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.3 | 6.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.12 (edge) | 0.12 |
| Success rate | 36% | 49% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 74% | 58% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.23 (edge) | 0.20 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.21 | 0.00 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/13 (edge) | 4/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 17 | 22 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 4 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 (edge) |
Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs 0.12.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | TB 25 | 12 | 75 | 5:13 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | NYG | NYG 25 | 12 | 57 | 5:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | TB | TB 25 | 11 | 75 | 3:46 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | NYG | NYG 25 | 14 | 70 | 5:23 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | TB | TB 25 | 6 | 46 | 2:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | NYG | NYG 24 | 5 | 0 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 7 | TB | TB 29 | 6 | 33 | 1:55 | Fumble | |
| 8 | NYG | NYG 25 | 5 | 16 | 1:51 | Fumble | |
| 9 | TB | NYG 41 | 4 | 36 | 0:49 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | NYG | NYG 25 | 5 | 9 | 0:50 | Punt | |
| 11 | TB | TB 20 | 6 | 46 | 0:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | NYG | NYG 25 | 3 | 77 | 0:12 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | TB | TB 25 | 7 | 26 | 2:37 | Punt | |
| 14 | NYG | NYG 20 | 9 | 90 | 3:57 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | TB | TB 25 | 5 | 0 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 16 | NYG | NYG 39 | 4 | -1 | 0:58 | Fumble | |
| 17 | TB | TB 16 | 9 | 33 | 4:32 | Punt | |
| 18 | NYG | NYG 19 | 4 | -13 | 1:55 | Punt | |
| 19 | TB | TB 46 | 6 | 19 | 2:54 | Interception | |
| 20 | NYG | NYG 39 | 2 | 1 | 0:48 | Fumble | |
| 21 | TB | NYG 42 | 8 | 37 | 4:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | NYG | NYG 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:40 | Punt | |
| 23 | TB | TB 22 | 4 | 9 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 24 | NYG | NYG 25 | 9 | 75 | 2:00 | Touchdown | |
| 25 | TB | TB 25 | 7 | 64 | 1:16 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 90 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TB -5
- Closing total
- 48
- NYG moneyline
- +202
- TB moneyline
- -230
Buccaneers closed -5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 48; the game landed 63 — over by 15.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 88°F, wind 11 mph
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- NYG 7 days · TB 10 days
- Coaches
- Pat Shurmur vs Bruce Arians