2019 Week 4 · Mon, Sep 30, 2019 · Heinz Field
Cincinnati Bengals
3
Pittsburgh SteelersWinner
27
Pittsburgh Steelers 27–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 10:39, PIT +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(10:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short right to 30-J.Conner for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 10:39PIT +14% win prob(10:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short right to 30-J.Conner for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 5:54CIN +14% win prob(5:54) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton sacked at PIT 26 for -8 yards (48-B.Dupree). FUMBLES (48-B.Dupree) [48-B.Dupree], RECOVERED by PIT-90-T.Watt at PIT 29. 90-T.Watt to PIT 29 for no gain (71-A.Smith).
- Q1 · 4:06CIN +11% win prob(4:06) 72-Z.Banner reported in as eligible. 30-J.Conner up the middle to CIN 42 for no gain (40-B.Wilson, 94-S.Hubbard).
- Q1 · 9:27CIN +10% win prob(9:27) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short left to 18-D.Johnson to PIT 15 for 3 yards (59-N.Vigil). FUMBLES (59-N.Vigil), RECOVERED by CIN-30-J.Bates III at PIT 15. 30-J.Bates III to PIT 15 for no gain (53-M.Pouncey).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Bengals | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 64 | 53 |
| Total yards | 175 | 329 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 2.7 | 6.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.39 | 0.09 (edge) |
| Success rate | 33% | 55% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 72% | 58% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.57 | 0.42 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (edge) | -0.36 |
| Third downs | 4/14 | 3/8 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 8 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.09 expected points added per play vs -0.39.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIN | CIN 21 | 9 | 33 | 4:58 | Punt | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 12 | 2 | 3 | 0:46 | Fumble | |
| 3 | CIN | PIT 15 | 4 | 5 | 0:54 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 25 | 9 | 33 | 4:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | CIN | CIN 42 | 4 | -1 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 20 | 8 | 38 | 3:59 | Punt | |
| 7 | CIN | CIN 10 | 4 | 0 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 8 | PIT | CIN 46 | 6 | 46 | 2:40 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | CIN | CIN 25 | 10 | 46 | 4:43 | Fumble | |
| 10 | PIT | PIT 29 | 11 | 60 | 4:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | CIN | CIN 25 | 4 | 17 | 0:58 | End of half | |
| 12 | PIT | PIT 25 | 10 | 80 | 4:24 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | CIN | CIN 25 | 5 | -11 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 14 | PIT | CIN 43 | 3 | 43 | 0:11 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | CIN | CIN 25 | 8 | 12 | 4:05 | Punt | |
| 16 | PIT | PIT 31 | 4 | 7 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 17 | CIN | CIN 20 | 16 | 64 | 7:43 | Interception | |
| 18 | PIT | PIT 20 | 9 | 19 | 5:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | CIN | CIN 25 | 12 | 10 | 4:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | PIT | CIN 44 | 3 | 0 | 1:50 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 80 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- PIT -3.5
- Closing total
- 45.5
- CIN moneyline
- +160
- PIT moneyline
- -179
Steelers closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 24.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 30 — under by 15.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Heinz Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 76°F, wind 1 mph
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- CIN 8 days · PIT 8 days
- Coaches
- Zac Taylor vs Mike Tomlin
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.