2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · Ford Field
Kansas City ChiefsWinner
34
Detroit Lions
30
Kansas City Chiefs 34–30. Biggest swing: Q3 9:31, KC +40% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(9:31) 33-K.Johnson up the middle to KC 1 for no gain (98-X.Williams). FUMBLES (98-X.Williams), RECOVERED by KC-21-B.Breeland at KC 0. 21-B.Breeland for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble rulin
Highest-leverage plays
- Q3 · 9:31KC +40% win prob(9:31) 33-K.Johnson up the middle to KC 1 for no gain (98-X.Williams). FUMBLES (98-X.Williams), RECOVERED by KC-21-B.Breeland at KC 0. 21-B.Breeland for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
- Q4 · 0:23DET +20% win prob(:23) (Shotgun) 31-D.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
- Q4 · 3:19DET +20% win prob(3:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-M.Hall pushed ob at KC 9 for 34 yards (35-C.Ward).
- Q3 · 1:14DET +17% win prob(1:14) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 19-K.Golladay for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Chiefs | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 73 |
| Total yards | 438 | 447 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 6.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.11 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Success rate | 45% | 48% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 70% | 55% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.23 (edge) | 0.16 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.18 (edge) | -0.40 |
| Third downs | 4/9 (edge) | 5/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 | 11 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 25 | 25 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 (edge) |
Chiefs won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.10.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 25 | 11 | 68 | 5:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | KC | KC 26 | 10 | 56 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | DET | DET 26 | 8 | 54 | 2:34 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | KC | KC 14 | 11 | 71 | 3:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | DET | DET 25 | 7 | 6 | 2:55 | Punt | |
| 6 | KC | KC 26 | 4 | 6 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 7 | DET | DET 16 | 4 | 10 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 8 | KC | KC 30 | 8 | 67 | 3:57 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | DET | DET 21 | 9 | 54 | 3:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | KC | KC 25 | 7 | 49 | 1:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | DET | — | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half | |
| 12 | KC | — | 1 | 0 | 0:09 | Fumble | |
| 13 | DET | KC 36 | 6 | 30 | 2:48 | Fumble | |
| 14 | KC | KC 18 | 5 | 12 | 2:08 | Fumble | |
| 15 | DET | KC 28 | 3 | 26 | 0:47 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 16 | DET | DET 25 | 8 | 35 | 2:49 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | KC | KC 20 | 4 | 25 | 1:29 | Fumble | |
| 18 | DET | KC 45 | 9 | 45 | 3:40 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | KC | KC 25 | 11 | 59 | 4:01 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | DET | DET 25 | 8 | 9 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 21 | KC | KC 20 | 6 | 19 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 22 | DET | DET 21 | 10 | 79 | 4:16 | Touchdown | |
| 23 | KC | KC 21 | 15 | 74 | 2:06 | Touchdown | |
| 24 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 31 | 0:20 | End of game |
0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Lions gained 79 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -7.5
- Closing total
- 54.5
- KC moneyline
- -364
- DET moneyline
- +307
Chiefs closed -7.5, won by 4 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 54.5; the game landed 64 — over by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Ford Field
- Roof / surface
- dome · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Walt Anderson
- Rest
- KC 7 days · DET 7 days
- Coaches
- Andy Reid vs Matt Patricia