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2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · Soldier Field
6
16
Chicago Bears 16–6. Biggest swing: Q3 15:00, MIN +9% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(15:00) 8-K.Cousins sacked at MIN 18 for -7 yards (52-K.Mack). FUMBLES (52-K.Mack), RECOVERED by CHI-97-N.Williams at MIN 16. 97-N.Williams to MIN 16 for no gain (71-R.Reiff).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Vikings | Bears |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 67 |
| Total yards | 222 | 269 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.8 | 4.0 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.26 | -0.06 (edge) |
| Success rate | 31% | 34% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 73% | 52% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.33 | 0.17 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.05 (edge) | -0.32 |
| Third downs | 5/13 (edge) | 5/16 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 2 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 15 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 6 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 (edge) |
Bears won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.06 expected points added per play vs -0.26.
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | CHI 25 | 16 | 75 | 7:16 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 25 | 11 | 28 | 4:42 | Punt | |
| 3 | CHI | CHI 5 | 9 | 50 | 4:55 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 5 | 12 | 31 | 6:31 | Fumble | |
| 5 | CHI | CHI 20 | 16 | 57 | 6:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 25 | 2 | -9 | 0:06 | Fumble | |
| 7 | CHI | MIN 16 | 4 | -4 | 2:07 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 9 | CHI | CHI 16 | 4 | 9 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIN | MIN 34 | 4 | -5 | 1:10 | Punt | |
| 11 | CHI | CHI 21 | 9 | 62 | 4:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | MIN | MIN 25 | 9 | 45 | 3:11 | Fumble | |
| 13 | CHI | CHI 5 | 4 | 7 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 14 | MIN | MIN 28 | 5 | 5 | 2:36 | Punt | |
| 15 | CHI | CHI 34 | 7 | 10 | 3:42 | Punt | |
| 16 | MIN | MIN 8 | 14 | 102 | 4:08 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | CHI | CHI 40 | 5 | 4 | 0:25 | Punt | |
| 18 | MIN | MIN 21 | 4 | 5 | 0:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | CHI | MIN 26 | 4 | -1 | 1:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | MIN | MIN 27 | 2 | 12 | 0:24 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 102 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Vikings closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 38; the game landed 22 — under by 16.0.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
