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2019 Week 4 · Thu, Sep 26, 2019 · Lambeau Field

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

34

Green Bay Packers

27

GB -3.5 upsetO 46 ✓

Philadelphia Eagles 34–27. Biggest swing: Q4 0:28, PHI +31% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3GBPHI
Q4 · 0:28PHI GB GB ball · 2nd & 3PHI 68%

(:28) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 83-M.Valdes-Scantling INTERCEPTED by 53-N.Bradham (39-C.James) at PHI -1. 53-N.Bradham to PHI 21 for 22 yards (10-D.Shepherd).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:28PHI +31% win prob(:28) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short middle intended for 83-M.Valdes-Scantling INTERCEPTED by 53-N.Bradham (39-C.James) at PHI -1. 53-N.Bradham to PHI 21 for 22 yards (10-D.Shepherd).
  2. Q4 · 9:08PHI +16% win prob(9:08) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass incomplete short right to 80-J.Graham.
  3. Q2 · 0:14GB +14% win prob(:14) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep middle to 81-G.Allison for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q2 · 2:00PHI +13% win prob(2:00) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at GB 22 for -7 yards (96-D.Barnett). FUMBLES (96-D.Barnett) [96-D.Barnett], RECOVERED by PHI-55-B.Graham at GB 21. 55-B.Graham to GB 17 for 4 yards (89-M.Lewis).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesPackers
Offensive plays5973
Total yards338491 (edge)
Yards per play5.76.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.29 (edge)0.17
Success rate53% (edge)52%
Dropback rate51%79%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.220.29 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.37 (edge)-0.28
Third downs5/9 (edge)6/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)67 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2323
Sacks taken0 (edge)1
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Packers outgained Eagles 491–338 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1PHIPHI 257232:11Punt
2GBGB 116742:18Touchdown
3PHIPHI 258283:29Punt
4GBGB 1015788:01Turnover on downs
5PHIGB 347342:13Touchdown
6GBGB 248483:24Turnover on downs
7PHIPHI 4013455:39Touchdown
8GBGB 25310:52Fumble
9PHIGB 175170:54Touchdown
10GBGB 309650:50Touchdown
11PHIPHI 25200:09End of half
12GBGB 25672:05Punt
13PHIPHI 249763:43Touchdown
14GBGB 25571:22Punt
15PHIPHI 16451:00Punt
16GBGB 289723:34Touchdown
17PHIPHI 2510754:03Touchdown
18GBGB 2113595:13Turnover on downs
19PHIPHI 19353:58Punt
20GBGB 1113804:42Interception
21PHIPHI 21100:20End of game

0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 80 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a interception.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
GB -3.5
Closing total
46
PHI moneyline
+169
GB moneyline
-190

Packers closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 46; the game landed 61 — over by 15.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Lambeau Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
60°F, wind 3 mph
Referee
Clay Martin
Rest
PHI 4 days · GB 4 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Matt LaFleur