2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · State Farm Stadium
Seattle SeahawksWinner
27
Arizona Cardinals
10
Seattle Seahawks 27–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 4:23, SEA +11% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(4:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at ARI 27. 90-J.Clowney for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 4:23SEA +11% win prob(4:23) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right intended for 31-D.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 90-J.Clowney at ARI 27. 90-J.Clowney for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 9:48SEA +9% win prob(9:48) 5-Z.Gonzalez 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-9-R.Winslow.
- Q1 · 14:01SEA +4% win prob(14:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 1-K.Murray sacked at ARI 33 for -5 yards (56-M.Kendricks).
- Q1 · 12:53ARI +4% win prob(12:53) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short right to 16-T.Sherfield to SEA 45 for 15 yards (94-E.Ansah).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 59 | 58 |
| Total yards | 340 (edge) | 322 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 (edge) | 5.6 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.16 (edge) | -0.11 |
| Success rate | 54% (edge) | 47% |
| Dropback rate | 58% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.17 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (edge) | 0.06 |
| Third downs | 4/10 (edge) | 3/9 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 (edge) | 18 |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 4 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.11.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | ARI 25 | 12 | 49 | 5:17 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 33 | 11 | 52 | 4:44 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | ARI | ARI 25 | 3 | 5 | 0:44 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 4 | ARI | ARI 25 | 13 | 70 | 5:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 75 | 3:01 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 25 | 8 | 45 | 3:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | SEA | SEA 38 | 4 | 4 | 2:23 | Punt | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 6 | 4 | 4 | 1:05 | Punt | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 44 | 10 | 50 | 3:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:17 | End of half | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 22 | 7 | 20 | 3:23 | Punt | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 19 | 4 | 1 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 25 | 7 | 28 | 4:06 | Punt | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 24 | 7 | 29 | 3:45 | Punt | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 9 | 6 | 30 | 3:46 | Punt | |
| 16 | ARI | ARI 20 | 9 | 65 | 3:11 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 25 | 17 | 81 | 8:08 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | ARI | ARI 25 | 10 | 54 | 2:13 | End of game |
0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 81 scrimmage yards over 17 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -5.5
- Closing total
- 49
- SEA moneyline
- -238
- ARI moneyline
- +209
Seahawks closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 17.
Total closed 49; the game landed 37 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- State Farm Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- SEA 7 days · ARI 7 days
- Coaches
- Pete Carroll vs Kliff Kingsbury
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.