2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

Tampa Bay BuccaneersWinner

Los Angeles Rams

LA -9 upsetO 48.5 ✓Rams closed -9 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55–40. Biggest swing: Q4 8:25, TB +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 8:25TB — LA TB ball · 3rd & 9TB 90%

(8:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left intended for 85-B.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at TB 32. 22-M.Peters for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 8:25TB +20% win prob(8:25) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep left intended for 85-B.Wilson INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at TB 32. 22-M.Peters for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 13:39TB +15% win prob(13:39) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 18-C.Kupp INTERCEPTED by 31-J.Whitehead (58-S.Barrett) at TB 24. 31-J.Whitehead pushed ob at TB 35 for 11 yards (77-A.Whitworth; 17-R.Woods). PENALTY on LA-17-R.Woods, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at TB 35.
Q2 · 8:45TB +15% win prob(8:45) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left intended for 81-G.Everett INTERCEPTED by 54-L.David at LA 35. 54-L.David to LA 9 for 26 yards (77-A.Whitworth).
Q4 · 1:17TB +13% win prob(1:17) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff sacked at LA 43 for -11 yards (58-S.Barrett). FUMBLES (58-S.Barrett) [58-S.Barrett], RECOVERED by TB-93-N.Suh at LA 37. 93-N.Suh for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Buccaneers	Rams
Offensive plays	72	82
Total yards	465	518 (edge)
Yards per play	6.5 (edge)	6.3
Expected points added / play	0.29 (edge)	-0.05
Success rate	49% (edge)	48%
Dropback rate	60%	87%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.55 (edge)	-0.04
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.10 (edge)	-0.14
Third downs	8/13 (edge)	4/11
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	4	7 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	25	31 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	2
Turnovers	1 (edge)	4

Rams outgained Buccaneers 518–465 but lost the turnover battle 4–1. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TB	TB 40	10	60	4:07	Touchdown
2	LA	LA 25	9	35	2:37	Punt
3	TB	TB 9	13	45	6:21	Punt
4	LA	LA 20	7	55	3:31	Interception
5	TB	50	8	50	3:27	Touchdown
6	LA	LA 25	4	6	1:22	Interception
7	TB	LA 9	2	9	0:07	Touchdown
8	LA	LA 25	10	65	2:54	Touchdown
9	TB	TB 25	5	3	1:32	Punt
10	LA	50	5	45	1:12	Touchdown
11	TB	TB 25	13	60	2:03	Touchdown
12	LA	LA 25	7	35	0:45	Turnover on downs
13	TB	TB 25	2	0	0:02	End of half
14	LA	LA 25	15	40	5:57	Turnover on downs
15	TB	TB 25	11	45	4:30	Turnover on downs
16	LA	LA 25	6	35	1:44	Interception
17	TB	TB 47	7	53	2:54	Touchdown
18	LA	LA 25	10	65	2:24	Touchdown
19	TB	TB 28	4	72	0:56	Touchdown
20	LA	LA 25	10	85	2:23	Touchdown
21	TB	TB 11	4	1	1:01	Defensive touchdown
22	TB	TB 25	12	67	5:36	Turnover on downs
23	LA	LA 25	8	17	1:29	Defensive touchdown
24	LA	LA 9	7	35	1:06	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 85 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: LA -9
Closing total: 48.5
TB moneyline: +385
LA moneyline: -473

Rams closed -9 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 48.5; the game landed 95 — over by 46.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 74°F, wind 2 mph
Referee: Bradley Rogers
Rest: TB 7 days · LA 7 days
Coaches: Bruce Arians vs Sean McVay