2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Tennessee TitansWinner
24
Atlanta Falcons
10
Tennessee Titans 24–10. Biggest swing: Q1 12:09, ATL +14% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:09) 72-D.Quessenberry reported in as eligible. 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 11-A.Brown for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 12:09ATL +14% win prob(12:09) 72-D.Quessenberry reported in as eligible. 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 11-A.Brown for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 0:13TEN +12% win prob(:13) 2-M.Ryan sacked at TEN 44 for -10 yards (99-J.Casey). FUMBLES (99-J.Casey) [99-J.Casey], RECOVERED by TEN-99-J.Casey at TEN 46. 99-J.Casey to TEN 46 for no gain (81-A.Hooper). PENALTY on TEN-21-M.Butler, Taunting, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
- Q2 · 10:07ATL +9% win prob(10:07) 7-C.Santos 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-B.Brinkley, Holder-6-B.Kern.
- Q3 · 5:18TEN +8% win prob(5:18) 2-M.Ryan sacked at TEN 39 for -9 yards (58-H.Landry).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Titans | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 75 |
| Total yards | 365 | 422 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.0 (edge) | 5.6 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.06 (edge) | -0.13 |
| Success rate | 46% (edge) | 41% |
| Dropback rate | 46% | 80% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.25 (edge) | -0.06 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.11 (edge) | -0.41 |
| Third downs | 6/13 (edge) | 5/14 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 22 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Falcons outgained Titans 422–365 but lost the turnover battle 1–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | TEN 25 | 6 | 10 | 1:56 | Punt | |
| 2 | ATL | ATL 17 | 4 | 4 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 3 | TEN | TEN 45 | 2 | 55 | 0:12 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | ATL | ATL 15 | 8 | 53 | 3:27 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | TEN | TEN 25 | 15 | 70 | 6:04 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | ATL | ATL 25 | 7 | 29 | 2:21 | Fumble | |
| 7 | TEN | TEN 31 | 4 | 6 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 10 | 4 | 4 | 1:16 | Punt | |
| 9 | TEN | TEN 38 | 5 | 35 | 2:09 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | ATL | ATL 27 | 10 | 33 | 4:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | TEN | TEN 40 | 7 | 60 | 3:27 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | ATL | ATL 25 | 12 | 46 | 1:53 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | TEN | TEN 22 | 3 | 13 | 0:30 | End of half | |
| 14 | ATL | ATL 25 | 11 | 61 | 3:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | TEN | TEN 25 | 6 | 20 | 1:59 | Punt | |
| 16 | ATL | ATL 5 | 8 | 56 | 4:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | TEN | TEN 39 | 6 | 22 | 2:24 | Punt | |
| 18 | ATL | ATL 10 | 4 | 7 | 1:02 | Punt | |
| 19 | TEN | TEN 43 | 7 | 40 | 3:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | ATL | ATL 12 | 13 | 77 | 5:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | TEN | TEN 26 | 12 | 34 | 5:24 | Punt | |
| 22 | ATL | ATL 2 | 5 | 52 | 1:46 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 77 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- ATL -3.5
- Closing total
- 46
- TEN moneyline
- +156
- ATL moneyline
- -174
Falcons closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 46; the game landed 34 — under by 12.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- John Hussey
- Rest
- TEN 10 days · ATL 7 days
- Coaches
- Mike Vrabel vs Dan Quinn