2019 Week 4 · Sun, Sep 29, 2019 · MetLife Stadium
Washington Commanders
3
New York GiantsWinner
24
New York Giants 24–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 14:08, WAS +12% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(14:08) (Shotgun) 8-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 19-R.Davis INTERCEPTED by 57-R.Connelly (20-Ja.Jenkins) at WAS 37. 57-R.Connelly to WAS 32 for 5 yards (8-C.Keenum).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 14:08WAS +12% win prob(14:08) (Shotgun) 8-C.Keenum pass short right intended for 19-R.Davis INTERCEPTED by 57-R.Connelly (20-Ja.Jenkins) at WAS 37. 57-R.Connelly to WAS 32 for 5 yards (8-C.Keenum).
- Q1 · 10:13NYG +7% win prob(10:13) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 87-S.Shepard to WAS 2 for 13 yards (35-M.Nicholson).
- Q3 · 1:29WAS +4% win prob(1:29) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-D.Haskins pass short middle intended for 87-J.Sprinkle INTERCEPTED by 21-J.Peppers [94-D.Tomlinson] at WAS 32. 21-J.Peppers for 32 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 8:31WAS +4% win prob(8:31) 8-D.Jones pass deep left intended for 87-S.Shepard INTERCEPTED by 23-Q.Dunbar [97-T.Settle] at WAS 41. 23-Q.Dunbar to WAS 47 for 6 yards (12-C.Latimer).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Commanders | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 48 | 66 |
| Total yards | 176 | 391 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.7 | 5.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.55 | -0.02 (edge) |
| Success rate | 29% | 50% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 52% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.57 | 0.31 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.49 | -0.36 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/11 | 8/12 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 8 | 20 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 4 | 4 |
Giants won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.55.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 25 | 4 | 5 | 1:00 | Interception | |
| 2 | NYG | WAS 32 | 9 | 46 | 5:15 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | WAS | WAS 25 | 9 | 26 | 4:45 | Punt | |
| 4 | NYG | NYG 6 | 14 | 87 | 6:59 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 19 | 6 | 16 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 6 | NYG | NYG 17 | 2 | 23 | 0:51 | Interception | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 47 | 4 | 0 | 1:01 | Punt | |
| 8 | NYG | NYG 14 | 2 | 7 | 0:41 | Interception | |
| 9 | WAS | NYG 37 | 11 | 39 | 4:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | NYG | NYG 25 | 11 | 70 | 2:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NYG | NYG 25 | 8 | 21 | 4:52 | Punt | |
| 12 | WAS | WAS 13 | 4 | 7 | 1:17 | Punt | |
| 13 | NYG | NYG 40 | 11 | 67 | 6:56 | Fumble | |
| 14 | WAS | WAS 2 | 2 | 20 | 0:36 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 15 | WAS | WAS 10 | 7 | 7 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 16 | NYG | NYG 26 | 4 | 5 | 0:47 | Punt | |
| 17 | WAS | WAS 15 | 5 | 42 | 2:07 | Interception | |
| 18 | NYG | NYG 12 | 7 | 29 | 3:59 | Punt | |
| 19 | WAS | WAS 3 | 4 | 8 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 20 | NYG | NYG 35 | 2 | 2 | 0:47 | Fumble | |
| 21 | WAS | NYG 37 | 3 | 6 | 0:52 | Interception | |
| 22 | NYG | NYG 27 | 6 | 34 | 2:48 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 87 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NYG -3
- Closing total
- 48
- WAS moneyline
- +146
- NYG moneyline
- -163
Giants closed -3 and covered, winning by 21.
Total closed 48; the game landed 27 — under by 21.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- MetLife Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 77°F, wind 11 mph
- Referee
- Alex Kemp
- Rest
- WAS 6 days · NYG 7 days
- Coaches
- Jay Gruden vs Pat Shurmur
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.