2019 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2019 · NRG Stadium
Atlanta Falcons
32
Houston TexansWinner
53
Houston Texans 53–32 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:29, HOU +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 24-D.Freeman for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 0:29HOU +17% win prob(:29) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass short right to 24-D.Freeman for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 13:54HOU +16% win prob(13:54) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass deep middle to 16-K.Coutee to ATL 18 for 51 yards (37-R.Allen). Penalty on ATL-44-V.Beasley, Defensive Offside, declined.
- Q2 · 12:14HOU +13% win prob(12:14) 4-D.Watson pass deep left to 15-W.Fuller for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 10:18HOU +11% win prob(10:18) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones to HOU 30 for 20 yards (21-B.Roby) [99-J.Watt]. FUMBLES (21-B.Roby), ball out of bounds at HOU 30. PENALTY on HOU-99-J.Watt, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, enforced at HOU 30.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Falcons | Texans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 67 |
| Total yards | 376 | 592 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.5 | 8.8 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.08 | 0.50 (edge) |
| Success rate | 44% | 52% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 74% | 51% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 | 1.00 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Third downs | 9/16 | 10/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 12 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 29 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Texans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.50 expected points added per play vs 0.08.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | ATL 17 | 5 | 4 | 1:27 | Punt | |
| 2 | HOU | HOU 37 | 4 | -6 | 1:55 | Punt | |
| 3 | ATL | ATL 34 | 7 | 51 | 2:35 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | HOU | HOU 25 | 13 | 75 | 4:54 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | ATL | ATL 26 | 11 | 57 | 4:17 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | HOU | HOU 40 | 8 | 60 | 2:46 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | ATL | ATL 15 | 8 | 13 | 2:56 | Punt | |
| 8 | HOU | HOU 8 | 10 | 65 | 5:08 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | ATL | ATL 18 | 13 | 77 | 3:40 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | HOU | HOU 25 | 5 | 33 | 0:22 | End of half | |
| 11 | HOU | HOU 25 | 9 | 75 | 3:09 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | ATL | ATL 25 | 6 | 15 | 1:45 | Punt | |
| 13 | HOU | HOU 34 | 7 | 59 | 2:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | ATL | ATL 25 | 5 | 3 | 1:53 | Punt | |
| 15 | HOU | HOU 12 | 7 | 90 | 3:46 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | ATL | ATL 25 | 6 | 24 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 17 | ATL | HOU 16 | 8 | 23 | 3:25 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | HOU | HOU 19 | 11 | 81 | 5:00 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | ATL | ATL 25 | 10 | 69 | 3:02 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | HOU | HOU 40 | 8 | 60 | 1:31 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | ATL | ATL 25 | 7 | 40 | 1:27 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 22 | ATL | ATL 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:24 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Texans gained 90 scrimmage yards over 7 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- HOU -4
- Closing total
- 49
- ATL moneyline
- +184
- HOU moneyline
- -207
Texans closed -4 and covered, winning by 21.
Total closed 49; the game landed 85 — over by 36.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- NRG Stadium
- Roof / surface
- closed · grass
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- ATL 7 days · HOU 7 days
- Coaches
- Dan Quinn vs Bill O'Brien