2019 Week 5 · Mon, Oct 7, 2019 · Levi's Stadium

Cleveland Browns

San Francisco 49ersWinner

SF -5 ✓U 47.5 ✓49ers closed -5 and covered, winning by 28.

San Francisco 49ers 31–3 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:28, SF +9% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:28CLE — SF SF ball · 1st & 10SF 73%

(13:28) 22-M.Breida left guard for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:28SF +9% win prob(13:28) 22-M.Breida left guard for 83 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q2 · 4:58CLE +7% win prob(4:58) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short middle intended for 11-A.Callaway INTERCEPTED by 24-K.Williams at SF 2. 24-K.Williams to CLE 49 for 49 yards (64-J.Tretter).
Q1 · 13:41SF +6% win prob(13:41) 7-J.Gillan punts 41 yards to SF 17, Center-47-C.Hughlett, downed by CLE-12-K.Hodge.
Q1 · 13:49CLE +6% win prob(13:49) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep right to 83-R.Seals-Jones pushed ob at SF 27 for 31 yards (25-R.Sherman). San Francisco challenged the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass incomplete deep right to 83-R.Seals-Jones (25-R.Sherman).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Browns	49ers
Offensive plays	46	68
Total yards	180	449 (edge)
Yards per play	3.9	6.6 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.51	0.22 (edge)
Success rate	26%	44% (edge)
Dropback rate	61%	46%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.82	0.22 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.04	0.23 (edge)
Third downs	1/11	6/15 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	6	10 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	9	21 (edge)
Sacks taken	4	2 (edge)
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.22 expected points added per play vs -0.51.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	CLE 25	6	22	1:32	Punt
2	SF	SF 17	2	83	0:11	Touchdown
3	CLE	CLE 25	2	0	0:15	Interception
4	SF	CLE 41	4	1	1:01	Punt
5	CLE	CLE 12	4	-6	1:38	Punt
6	SF	SF 26	9	59	3:57	Touchdown
7	CLE	CLE 22	6	7	2:52	Fumble
8	SF	CLE 29	4	10	2:25	Turnover on downs
9	CLE	CLE 37	10	51	4:47	Turnover on downs
10	SF	SF 25	7	15	2:50	Punt
11	CLE	CLE 22	7	77	3:47	Interception
12	SF	CLE 49	7	49	2:51	Touchdown
13	CLE	CLE 17	5	-5	1:10	Punt
14	SF	CLE 38	4	4	0:34	Turnover on downs
15	CLE	CLE 42	1	0	0:10	End of half
16	SF	SF 10	11	90	4:23	Touchdown
17	CLE	CLE 23	6	22	1:29	Punt
18	SF	SF 4	15	82	7:37	Turnover on downs
19	CLE	CLE 45	4	0	0:29	Punt
20	SF	SF 10	7	12	2:57	Punt
21	CLE	CLE 18	4	8	2:38	Punt
22	SF	SF 16	5	13	3:25	Punt
23	SF	CLE 29	4	18	1:54	Turnover on downs
24	CLE	CLE 25	5	4	1:30	Punt
25	SF	SF 20	6	13	3:38	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 90 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: SF -5
Closing total: 47.5
CLE moneyline: +199
SF moneyline: -226

49ers closed -5 and covered, winning by 28.

Total closed 47.5; the game landed 34 — under by 13.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Levi's Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 87°F, wind 8 mph
Referee: Jerome Boger
Rest: CLE 8 days · SF 15 days
Coaches: Freddie Kitchens vs Kyle Shanahan