2019 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2019 · Bank of America Stadium
Jacksonville Jaguars
27
Carolina PanthersWinner
34
Carolina Panthers 34–27. Biggest swing: Q4 3:46, CAR +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(3:46) 39-R.Bonnafon up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 3:46CAR +20% win prob(3:46) 39-R.Bonnafon up the middle for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 13:43JAX +18% win prob(13:43) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew sacked at CAR 41 for -7 yards (97-M.Addison). FUMBLES (97-M.Addison), RECOVERED by CAR-53-B.Burns at CAR 44. 53-B.Burns for 56 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 14:01CAR +17% win prob(14:01) 22-C.McCaffrey left guard for 84 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 3:31JAX +16% win prob(3:31) 15-G.Minshew FUMBLES (Aborted) at JAX 18, RECOVERED by CAR-25-E.Reid at JAX 24. 25-E.Reid to JAX 24 for no gain (27-L.Fournette).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Jaguars | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 76 | 61 |
| Total yards | 508 (edge) | 445 |
| Yards per play | 6.7 | 7.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.03 | 0.18 (edge) |
| Success rate | 47% (edge) | 46% |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.04 (edge) | 0.00 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.18 | 0.43 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/13 (edge) | 4/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 11 (edge) | 9 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 26 (edge) | 19 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 0 (edge) |
Jaguars outgained Panthers 508–445 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | CAR 22 | 10 | 58 | 5:37 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | JAX | JAX 25 | 6 | 75 | 1:56 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | CAR | CAR 25 | 7 | 11 | 1:14 | Punt | |
| 4 | JAX | JAX 25 | 4 | 1 | 1:12 | Punt | |
| 5 | CAR | CAR 14 | 4 | 8 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 6 | JAX | JAX 20 | 1 | 0 | 0:05 | Fumble | |
| 7 | CAR | JAX 24 | 4 | 29 | 1:51 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | JAX | JAX 25 | 9 | 31 | 3:03 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 9 | JAX | JAX 25 | 7 | 1 | 2:51 | Punt | |
| 10 | CAR | CAR 39 | 4 | 4 | 0:55 | Punt | |
| 11 | JAX | JAX 17 | 7 | 83 | 3:39 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | CAR | CAR 27 | 8 | 40 | 3:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | JAX | JAX 46 | 8 | 37 | 1:59 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | CAR | CAR 25 | 5 | 1 | 0:28 | Punt | |
| 15 | JAX | JAX 14 | 1 | 0 | 0:30 | End of half | |
| 16 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 7 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 17 | CAR | CAR 16 | 2 | 84 | 0:12 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | JAX | JAX 25 | 8 | 85 | 3:22 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | CAR | CAR 25 | 9 | 32 | 3:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | JAX | JAX 36 | 6 | 24 | 3:47 | Punt | |
| 21 | CAR | CAR 6 | 14 | 87 | 6:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | JAX | JAX 7 | 11 | 73 | 6:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | CAR | CAR 25 | 6 | 75 | 2:18 | Touchdown | |
| 24 | JAX | JAX 25 | 8 | 30 | 1:15 | Fumble | |
| 25 | CAR | CAR 45 | 5 | 16 | 0:34 | Punt | |
| 26 | JAX | JAX 5 | 11 | 61 | 1:45 | End of game | |
| 27 | JAX | CAR 29 | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Panthers gained 87 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CAR -3
- Closing total
- 41
- JAX moneyline
- +169
- CAR moneyline
- -189
Panthers closed -3 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 41; the game landed 61 — over by 20.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Bank of America Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 72°F, wind 4 mph
- Referee
- Alex Kemp
- Rest
- JAX 7 days · CAR 7 days
- Coaches
- Doug Marrone vs Ron Rivera