2019 Week 5 · Thu, Oct 3, 2019 · CenturyLink Field
Los Angeles Rams
29
Seattle SeahawksWinner
30
Seattle Seahawks 30–29 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:15, LA +40% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:15) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:15LA +40% win prob(:15) 4-G.Zuerlein 44 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
- Q4 · 2:34SEA +24% win prob(2:34) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 32-C.Carson for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 2:12LA +22% win prob(2:12) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass incomplete short right to 81-G.Everett. Seattle challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right intended for 81-G.Everett INTERCEPTED by 33-T.Thompson at SEA 49. 33-T.Thompson to SEA 49 for no gain.
- Q4 · 1:00SEA +21% win prob(1:00) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass deep middle to 81-G.Everett to SEA 30 for 28 yards (30-B.McDougald).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Rams | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 68 | 66 |
| Total yards | 477 (edge) | 431 |
| Yards per play | 7.0 (edge) | 6.5 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.16 (edge) | 0.16 |
| Success rate | 44% | 45% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 74% | 45% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.29 | 0.43 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.20 | -0.06 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/11 | 3/10 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 10 (edge) | 8 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 (edge) | 23 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 1 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Rams outgained Seahawks 477–431 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 25 | 3 | 17 | 1:13 | Fumble | |
| 2 | LA | SEA 33 | 4 | 4 | 1:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 16 | 2:57 | Punt | |
| 4 | LA | LA 31 | 10 | 55 | 4:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 25 | 9 | 75 | 4:06 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 0 | 0:30 | Punt | |
| 7 | SEA | SEA 8 | 6 | 31 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 8 | LA | LA 20 | 4 | 4 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 27 | 6 | 68 | 2:46 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | LA | LA 25 | 6 | 58 | 2:43 | Fumble | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 17 | 8 | 53 | 3:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | LA | LA 38 | 9 | 50 | 1:28 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:06 | End of half | |
| 14 | LA | LA 25 | 8 | 75 | 2:53 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 35 | 6 | 8 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 16 | LA | LA 1 | 4 | 1 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 17 | SEA | LA 47 | 7 | 47 | 2:59 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | LA | LA 25 | 7 | 75 | 2:38 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | SEA | SEA 25 | 10 | 56 | 4:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | LA | LA 25 | 11 | 67 | 4:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | SEA | SEA 25 | 14 | 60 | 6:51 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | 11 | 0:20 | Interception | |
| 23 | SEA | SEA 49 | 4 | 0 | 0:30 | Punt | |
| 24 | LA | LA 7 | 10 | 77 | 1:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | SEA | SEA 34 | 1 | 0 | 0:11 | End of game |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 77 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -1.5
- Closing total
- 49
- LA moneyline
- +111
- SEA moneyline
- -122
Seahawks closed -1.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 49; the game landed 59 — over by 10.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- CenturyLink Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 57°F, wind 7 mph
- Referee
- Scott Novak
- Rest
- LA 4 days · SEA 4 days
- Coaches
- Sean McVay vs Pete Carroll
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.