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2019 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

Minnesota VikingsWinner

28

New York Giants

10

MIN -5.5 ✓U 44 ✓

Minnesota Vikings 28–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 12:16, NYG +8% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYGMIN
Q2 · 12:16MIN NYG NYG ball · 2nd & 8MIN 84%

(12:16) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 12:16NYG +8% win prob(12:16) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 86-D.Slayton for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 2:22MIN +7% win prob(2:22) 33-D.Cook right tackle to NYG 5 for 19 yards (21-J.Peppers). FUMBLES (21-J.Peppers), RECOVERED by NYG-54-T.Skipper at NYG 1. 54-T.Skipper to NYG 1 for no gain (19-A.Thielen).
  3. Q2 · 5:13NYG +7% win prob(5:13) 8-K.Cousins pass short left to 19-A.Thielen to NYG 41 for 44 yards (20-Ja.Jenkins; 55-D.Mayo).
  4. Q2 · 0:01MIN +6% win prob(:01) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right (20-Ja.Jenkins).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricVikingsGiants
Offensive plays6362
Total yards491 (edge)211
Yards per play7.8 (edge)3.4
Expected points added / play0.34 (edge)-0.20
Success rate49% (edge)37%
Dropback rate49%69%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.65 (edge)-0.21
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.04 (edge)-0.18
Third downs5/118/16 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)15 (edge)2
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)13
Sacks taken3 (edge)4
Turnovers11

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.34 expected points added per play vs -0.20.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MINMIN 2512626:14Turnover on downs
2NYGNYG 2510313:05Punt
3MINMIN 2121035:46Touchdown
4NYG507502:47Touchdown
5MINMIN 259524:17Turnover on downs
6NYGNYG 258192:38Punt
7MINMIN 206853:00Fumble
8NYGNYG 11-10:04Turnover on downs
9MINMIN 3710491:22Turnover on downs
10NYGNYG 255-70:46Punt
11MINNYG 44100:01End of half
12NYGNYG 2516467:25Turnover on downs
13MINMIN 337572:43Touchdown
14NYGNYG 2512164:43Turnover on downs
15MINMIN 12441:05Punt
16NYGNYG 4410495:03Turnover on downs
17MINMIN 279564:52Turnover on downs
18NYGNYG 17580:49Interception
19MINNYG 275233:20End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 103 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -5.5
Closing total
44
MIN moneyline
-243
NYG moneyline
+213

Vikings closed -5.5 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 44; the game landed 38 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
66°F, wind 10 mph
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
MIN 7 days · NYG 7 days
Coaches
Mike Zimmer vs Pat Shurmur