2019 Week 5 · Sun, Oct 6, 2019 · Lincoln Financial Field

New York Jets

Philadelphia EaglesWinner

PHI -14 ✓U 43 ✓Eagles closed -14 and covered, winning by 25.

Philadelphia Eagles 31–6 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 13:47, NYJ +3% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 13:47NYJ — PHI NYJ ball · 3rd & 9PHI 89%

(13:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Falk sacked at NYJ 17 for -9 yards (55-B.Graham).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 13:47NYJ +3% win prob(13:47) (Shotgun) 8-L.Falk sacked at NYJ 17 for -9 yards (55-B.Graham).
Q1 · 5:15NYJ +3% win prob(5:15) 8-L.Falk pass short right intended for 26-L.Bell INTERCEPTED by 47-N.Gerry [55-B.Graham] at PHI 49. 47-N.Gerry for 51 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-96-D.Barnett, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced between downs.
Q1 · 12:55NYJ +3% win prob(12:55) (Shotgun) 26-M.Sanders right end to PHI 46 for -1 yards (93-T.Basham).
Q1 · 11:37PHI +2% win prob(11:37) (Shotgun) 24-J.Howard up the middle to NYJ 29 for 15 yards (20-M.Maye).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Jets	Eagles
Offensive plays	56	57
Total yards	128	267 (edge)
Yards per play	2.3	4.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.68	-0.13 (edge)
Success rate	27%	39% (edge)
Dropback rate	66%	54%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.95	-0.01 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.15 (edge)	-0.27
Third downs	3/14	5/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	2	6 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	9	14 (edge)
Sacks taken	10	1 (edge)
Turnovers	3	0 (edge)

Eagles won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.13 expected points added per play vs -0.68.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	-8	2:05	Punt
2	PHI	PHI 47	10	43	5:11	Touchdown
3	NYJ	NYJ 25	7	23	2:40	Defensive touchdown
4	NYJ	NYJ 39	5	7	2:34	Punt
5	PHI	PHI 12	6	47	1:58	Turnover on downs
6	NYJ	NYJ 36	6	27	2:42	Turnover on downs
7	PHI	PHI 45	5	15	1:52	Punt
8	NYJ	NYJ 9	4	-5	1:49	Punt
9	PHI	PHI 42	4	-6	1:45	Punt
10	NYJ	NYJ 4	4	4	1:31	Punt
11	PHI	NYJ 49	4	-2	2:32	Punt
12	NYJ	NYJ 25	5	20	1:19	Interception
13	PHI	NYJ 42	8	37	1:28	Touchdown
14	NYJ	NYJ 25	2	2	0:34	End of half
15	PHI	PHI 25	8	35	3:09	Turnover on downs
16	NYJ	NYJ 40	7	6	3:16	Punt
17	PHI	PHI 13	12	78	7:09	Turnover on downs
18	NYJ	NYJ 25	6	13	1:46	Punt
19	NYJ	PHI 19	2	19	0:08	Touchdown
20	PHI	PHI 25	6	14	2:13	Punt
21	NYJ	NYJ 11	9	33	4:40	Defensive touchdown
22	NYJ	NYJ 16	5	-7	2:22	Punt
23	PHI	PHI 46	4	6	2:20	Punt
24	NYJ	NYJ 18	4	-6	1:42	Punt
25	PHI	PHI 23	2	0	1:15	End of game

0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 78 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: PHI -14
Closing total: 43
NYJ moneyline: +587
PHI moneyline: -782

Eagles closed -14 and covered, winning by 25.

Total closed 43; the game landed 37 — under by 6.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Lincoln Financial Field
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 68°F, wind 10 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: NYJ 14 days · PHI 10 days
Coaches: Adam Gase vs Doug Pederson