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2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · State Farm Stadium

Atlanta Falcons

33

Arizona CardinalsWinner

34

ATL -3 upsetO 52.5 ✓Dome

Arizona Cardinals 34–33 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 5:18, ARI +19% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3ARIATL
Q4 · 5:18ATL ARI ARI ball · 3rd & 5ARI 63%

(5:18) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 31-D.Johnson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-59-D.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 5:18ARI +19% win prob(5:18) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 31-D.Johnson for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on ATL-59-D.Campbell, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.
  2. Q4 · 1:53ATL +13% win prob3-M.Bryant extra point is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-8-M.Schaub.
  3. Q2 · 13:08ARI +13% win prob(13:08) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass short left to 29-C.Edmonds for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q4 · 8:02ATL +12% win prob(8:02) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at ATL 23 for -8 yards (sack split by 56-T.Suggs and 55-Cha.Jones). FUMBLES (56-T.Suggs) [56-T.Suggs], recovered by ATL-68-J.Brown at ATL 23. 68-J.Brown to ATL 25 for 2 yards (33-B.Murphy Jr.).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricFalconsCardinals
Offensive plays6362
Total yards444445 (edge)
Yards per play7.07.2 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.32 (edge)0.26
Success rate54% (edge)47%
Dropback rate63%65%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.490.50 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)0.03 (edge)-0.16
Third downs6/117/12 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)89 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps27 (edge)22
Sacks taken20 (edge)
Turnovers00

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ATLATL 2012705:37Touchdown
2ARIARI 2210573:42Turnover on downs
3ATLATL 406152:47Punt
4ARIARI 1410934:52Touchdown
5ATLATL 295-12:08Punt
6ARIARI 215791:52Touchdown
7ATLATL 2512545:25Turnover on downs
8ARIARI 2516713:33Turnover on downs
9ATL100:04End of half
10ARIARI 3611593:35Touchdown
11ATLATL 259493:39Turnover on downs
12ARIARI 257322:10Punt
13ATLATL 711934:34Touchdown
14ARIARI 25592:00Punt
15ATLATL 179783:12Touchdown
16ARIARI 25551:36Punt
17ATLATL 145112:02Punt
18ARIATL 456302:00Touchdown
19ATLATL 259753:19Touchdown
20ARIARI 257101:53End of game

0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Cardinals gained 93 scrimmage yards over 10 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
ATL -3
Closing total
52.5
ATL moneyline
-161
ARI moneyline
+145

Falcons closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 52.5; the game landed 67 — over by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
State Farm Stadium
Roof / surface
closed · grass
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Carl Cheffers
Rest
ATL 7 days · ARI 7 days
Coaches
Dan Quinn vs Kliff Kingsbury