2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · M&T Bank Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals

Baltimore RavensWinner

BAL -10.5 no coverU 47 ✓Ravens closed -10.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Baltimore Ravens 23–17. Biggest swing: Q1 15:00, BAL +23% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q1 · 15:00CIN — BAL CIN ballBAL 84%

9-J.Tucker kicks 57 yards from BAL 35 to CIN 8. 40-B.Wilson for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q1 · 15:00BAL +23% win prob9-J.Tucker kicks 57 yards from BAL 35 to CIN 8. 40-B.Wilson for 92 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q1 · 14:15BAL +12% win prob(14:15) (Shotgun) 8-L.Jackson left tackle to CIN 39 for 36 yards (27-D.Kirkpatrick).
Q1 · 14:48BAL +8% win prob(14:48) 21-M.Ingram left guard to BAL 25 for no gain (57-G.Pratt).
Q1 · 8:52CIN +5% win prob(8:52) (Shotgun) 43-J.Hill right tackle to CIN 35 for 6 yards (22-W.Jackson III). PENALTY on BAL-77-B.Bozeman, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 9 yards, enforced at CIN 41 - No Play.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Bengals	Ravens
Offensive plays	55	73
Total yards	250	500 (edge)
Yards per play	4.5	6.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.10	0.16 (edge)
Success rate	35%	48% (edge)
Dropback rate	76%	49%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.00	0.16 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.45	0.16 (edge)
Third downs	5/11	9/14 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	5	10 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	16	26 (edge)
Sacks taken	2	1 (edge)
Turnovers	1	1

Ravens won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.10.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CIN	—	2	0	0:12	Defensive touchdown
2	BAL	BAL 25	8	75	3:20	Touchdown
3	CIN	CIN 25	5	4	1:20	Punt
4	BAL	BAL 34	11	80	6:07	Touchdown
5	CIN	CIN 26	5	2	1:11	Punt
6	BAL	BAL 21	8	57	3:02	Turnover on downs
7	CIN	CIN 25	9	40	4:13	Punt
8	BAL	BAL 8	8	46	4:16	Punt
9	CIN	CIN 20	9	59	4:01	Interception
10	BAL	BAL 22	4	22	0:53	Fumble
11	CIN	BAL 39	7	35	0:49	Turnover on downs
12	BAL	BAL 25	6	44	0:36	End of half
13	BAL	BAL 40	8	18	3:16	Punt
14	CIN	CIN 9	12	41	4:44	Punt
15	BAL	BAL 9	13	60	6:58	Turnover on downs
16	CIN	CIN 27	6	21	1:30	Punt
17	BAL	BAL 15	18	98	9:46	Turnover on downs
18	CIN	CIN 25	14	48	2:18	Touchdown
19	BAL	CIN 44	4	0	1:28	End of game

0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 98 scrimmage yards over 18 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: BAL -10.5
Closing total: 47
CIN moneyline: +425
BAL moneyline: -531

Ravens closed -10.5, won by 6 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 47; the game landed 40 — under by 7.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: M&T Bank Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 64°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Clay Martin
Rest: CIN 7 days · BAL 7 days
Coaches: Zac Taylor vs John Harbaugh

Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.