2019 Week 6 · Mon, Oct 14, 2019 · Lambeau Field
Detroit Lions
22
Green Bay PackersWinner
23
Green Bay Packers 23–22 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 13:22, DET +26% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(13:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left intended for 10-D.Shepherd INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Coleman at DET 2. 27-J.Coleman to GB 43 for 55 yards (83-M.Valdes-Scantling).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 13:22DET +26% win prob(13:22) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left intended for 10-D.Shepherd INTERCEPTED by 27-J.Coleman at DET 2. 27-J.Coleman to GB 43 for 55 yards (83-M.Valdes-Scantling).
- Q4 · 0:02GB +25% win prob(:02) 2-M.Crosby 23 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-43-H.Bradley, Holder-6-J.Scott.
- Q3 · 10:11GB +21% win prob(10:11) 6-S.Martin punts 48 yards to GB 34, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 10-D.Shepherd to GB 34 for no gain (30-D.Virgin). FUMBLES (30-D.Virgin), RECOVERED by DET-32-T.Wilson at GB 25. 32-T.Wilson to GB 25 for no gain (32-T.Carson).
- Q4 · 9:10GB +15% win prob(9:10) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass deep left to 13-A.Lazard for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Lions | Packers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 54 | 67 |
| Total yards | 300 | 449 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.6 | 6.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.00 (edge) | -0.02 |
| Success rate | 35% | 45% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.06 (edge) | -0.03 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.13 | -0.01 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/13 | 4/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 8 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 13 | 17 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 23 | 6 | 74 | 2:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | GB | GB 17 | 5 | 6 | 1:29 | Punt | |
| 3 | DET | DET 26 | 9 | 74 | 4:37 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | GB | GB 21 | 6 | 39 | 3:05 | Fumble | |
| 5 | DET | DET 32 | 11 | 66 | 5:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | GB | GB 40 | 16 | 70 | 5:57 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | DET | DET 25 | 8 | 23 | 2:57 | Punt | |
| 8 | GB | GB 6 | 13 | 85 | 4:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | DET | DET 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:07 | End of half | |
| 10 | GB | GB 22 | 6 | 33 | 2:25 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | DET | DET 26 | 5 | -3 | 2:36 | Punt | |
| 12 | DET | GB 25 | 4 | 2 | 0:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | GB | GB 10 | 5 | 6 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 14 | DET | DET 33 | 7 | 34 | 3:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | 4 | 0:58 | Punt | |
| 16 | DET | DET 18 | 6 | 6 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 17 | GB | GB 30 | 5 | 58 | 2:15 | Interception | |
| 18 | DET | GB 43 | 4 | 8 | 0:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | GB | GB 21 | 9 | 74 | 3:14 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | DET | DET 25 | 8 | 16 | 2:17 | Punt | |
| 21 | GB | GB 18 | 14 | 74 | 6:46 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Packers gained 85 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- GB -3.5
- Closing total
- 47
- DET moneyline
- +176
- GB moneyline
- -198
Packers closed -3.5, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 47; the game landed 45 — under by 2.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Lambeau Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 43°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Clete Blakeman
- Rest
- DET 15 days · GB 8 days
- Coaches
- Matt Patricia vs Matt LaFleur
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.