2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · Arrowhead Stadium
Houston TexansWinner
31
Kansas City Chiefs
24
Houston Texans 31–24. Biggest swing: Q2 0:32, HOU +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:32) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 13 for -7 yards (94-C.Omenihu). FUMBLES (94-C.Omenihu) [94-C.Omenihu], RECOVERED by HOU-55-B.McKinney at KC 3. 55-B.McKinney to KC 3 for no gain (74-M.Rankin).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 0:32HOU +20% win prob(:32) 15-P.Mahomes sacked at KC 13 for -7 yards (94-C.Omenihu). FUMBLES (94-C.Omenihu) [94-C.Omenihu], RECOVERED by HOU-55-B.McKinney at KC 3. 55-B.McKinney to KC 3 for no gain (74-M.Rankin).
- Q4 · 7:41KC +17% win prob(7:41) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short right to 87-D.Fells to KC 1 for 18 yards (56-B.Niemann; 21-B.Breeland).
- Q1 · 11:53KC +17% win prob(11:53) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass deep middle to 10-T.Hill for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on HOU-59-W.Mercilus, Defensive Offside, declined.
- Q3 · 0:09HOU +15% win prob(:09) (Shotgun) 4-D.Watson pass short left intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 35-C.Ward at KC -2. Touchback.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Texans | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 82 | 46 |
| Total yards | 476 (edge) | 310 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 6.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.23 (edge) | 0.04 |
| Success rate | 56% (edge) | 41% |
| Dropback rate | 59% | 78% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.40 (edge) | 0.04 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.01 | 0.04 (edge) |
| Third downs | 5/12 | 4/8 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 33 (edge) | 16 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 1 |
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 (edge) |
Texans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs 0.04.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KC | KC 9 | 8 | 116 | 3:18 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | HOU | HOU 25 | 2 | -7 | 0:06 | Fumble | |
| 3 | KC | HOU 18 | 4 | 5 | 1:17 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | HOU | HOU 25 | 13 | 49 | 4:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | KC | KC 10 | 11 | 75 | 4:18 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | HOU | HOU 25 | 12 | 75 | 4:13 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | KC | KC 19 | 7 | 34 | 3:33 | Interception | |
| 8 | HOU | HOU 20 | 13 | 80 | 5:36 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | KC | KC 27 | 7 | 36 | 1:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | HOU | HOU 40 | 7 | 15 | 1:07 | Interception | |
| 11 | KC | KC 20 | 1 | -17 | 0:09 | Fumble | |
| 12 | HOU | KC 3 | 2 | 3 | 0:07 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | KC | KC 24 | 2 | 0 | 0:16 | End of half | |
| 14 | HOU | HOU 25 | 11 | 47 | 4:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | KC | KC 36 | 11 | 64 | 4:25 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | HOU | HOU 23 | 12 | 65 | 6:26 | Interception | |
| 17 | KC | KC 20 | 4 | 0 | 0:15 | Punt | |
| 18 | HOU | HOU 7 | 13 | 105 | 8:32 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | KC | KC 25 | 5 | -3 | 1:14 | Punt | |
| 20 | HOU | HOU 37 | 9 | 44 | 5:03 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 116 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- KC -3.5
- Closing total
- 54.5
- HOU moneyline
- +166
- KC moneyline
- -186
Chiefs closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 54.5; the game landed 55 — over by 0.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Arrowhead Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- 56°F, wind 2 mph
- Referee
- Shawn Hochuli
- Rest
- HOU 7 days · KC 7 days
- Coaches
- Bill O'Brien vs Andy Reid