Saints 13 – Jaguars 6 (2019 Week 6) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability

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Saints 13 – Jaguars 6 (2019 Week 6) | Box Score, Drive Chart & Win Probability | Dynatyze

The season-grain rooms, pointed at this one game

Was this normal for them?

8 of 8 readings cleared their snap floor. Every deviation below is measured in that team's own game-to-game swing, not in league points — because one game's swing runs from 1.6 to 3.1 times the whole league's spread.

their week-to-week swingall 32 teams

upper band = their week-to-week swing · lower rule = all 32 teams · scale -18 pts to 20 pts

Over Expected room →

Saints6.2 pts

right on their number · +2.1 vs their 4.1 pts, and they swing ±4.7 week to week (+0.45× that swing) · 63 snaps

Jaguars-7.6 pts

leaned — ran more than the situation asked · −8.5 vs their 0.8 pts, and they swing ±7.4 week to week (−1.14× that swing) · 54 snaps

upper band = their week-to-week swing · lower rule = all 32 teams · scale 33% to 91%

Tendencies room →

Saints54.0%

inside their normal wobble · −4.6 vs their 58.6%, and they swing ±7.7 week to week (−0.59× that swing) · 50 early downs

Jaguars47.5%

leaned — ran early · −14.8 vs their 62.3%, and they swing ±11.4 week to week (−1.30× that swing) · 40 early downs

upper band = their week-to-week swing · lower rule = all 32 teams · scale -52% to 90%

Fourth Down room →

Saints0.0%

inside their normal wobble · −19.0 vs their 19.0%, and they swing ±27.9 week to week (−0.68× that swing) · 5 fourth-and-short calls

Jaguars16.7%

inside their normal wobble · −16.3 vs their 33.0%, and they swing ±20.8 week to week (−0.78× that swing) · 6 fourth-and-short calls

upper band = their week-to-week swing · lower rule = all 32 teams · scale 1% to 35%

Tendencies room →

Saints9.4%

leaned — stayed blocked · −6.9 vs their 16.2%, and they swing ±6.0 week to week (−1.15× that swing) · 32 dropbacks

Jaguars10.3%

leaned — stayed blocked · −7.9 vs their 18.1%, and they swing ±6.5 week to week (−1.20× that swing) · 39 dropbacks

Play-action rate

Charted from 2022. The columns exist for 2019 and are entirely empty, which is not a season of data.

Blitz rate sent

Charted from 2022. The columns exist for 2019 and are entirely empty, which is not a season of data.

JAX's early-down pass rate was the night's one real departure: 47.5%, 14.8 points below their season mean of 62.3% and 1.3 times their own 11.4-point weekly swing.

The Game Day Roster

Who was out, who dressed and never took a snap, and who was on the field how much. Game-day list and snap counts from the weekly roster and snap feeds. Practice-squad and injured-reserve players are not shown — they were never on the game-day list.

New Orleans Saints

46 dressed · 7 inactive

78Erik McCoyC · Every snap100%66 snaps
67Larry WarfordG · Every snap100%66 snaps
75Andrus PeatT · Every snap100%66 snaps
71Ryan RamczykT · Every snap100%66 snaps
13Michael ThomasWR · Full-time98%65 snaps
5Teddy BridgewaterQB · Full-time95%63 snaps
72Terron ArmsteadT · Full-time91%60 snaps
19Ted GinnWR · Heavy rotation67%44 snaps
89Josh HillTE · Heavy rotation62%41 snaps
41Alvin KamaraRB · Heavy rotation59%39 snaps
87Jared CookTE · Heavy rotation58%38 snaps
28Latavius MurrayRB · Rotational42%28 snaps
80Austin CarrWR · Rotational32%21 snaps
84Lil'Jordan HumphreyWR · Rotational27%18 snaps
64Will ClappC · Situational24%16 snaps
42Zach LineFB · Situational20%13 snaps
7Taysom HillQB · Situational17%11 snaps
11Deonte HarrisWR · Situational6%4 snaps
60Patrick OmamehG · Situational2%1 snap

Inactive · 7

Ken CrawleyCBSaquan HamptonDBTrey HendricksonDENick EastonGDrew BreesQBEthan GreenidgeTTre'Quan SmithWR

Jacksonville Jaguars

46 dressed · 7 inactive · 1 never used

65Brandon LinderC · Every snap100%58 snaps
68Andrew NorwellG · Every snap100%58 snaps
75Jawaan TaylorT · Every snap100%58 snaps
15Gardner MinshewQB · Every snap100%58 snaps
74Cam RobinsonT · Every snap100%58 snaps
27Leonard FournetteRB · Full-time95%55 snaps
18Chris ConleyWR · Full-time83%48 snaps
12Dede WestbrookWR · Heavy rotation78%45 snaps
17D.J. CharkWR · Heavy rotation71%41 snaps
60A.J. CannG · Heavy rotation66%38 snaps
87Geoff SwaimTE · Heavy rotation53%31 snaps
88Seth DeValveTE · Rotational41%24 snaps
76Will RichardsonT · Rotational34%20 snaps
11Marqise LeeWR · Rotational34%20 snaps
83Ben KoyackTE · Situational19%11 snaps
84Keelan ColeWR · Situational12%7 snaps
77Cedric OgbuehiOT · Situational10%6 snaps
23Ryquell ArmsteadRB · Situational3%2 snaps

Inactive · 7

Jalen RamseyCBDontavius RussellDTAustin CalitroLBBrandon ThomasOGTyler ErvinRBJosh OliverTEC.J. BoardWR

Dressed, never took a snap · 1

Joshua DobbsQB

The Film Room · post-game

Post-game film: 159 plays across 20 drives, personnel groupings on 159 snaps. Everything here paints once the weekly sync ingests the game — there is no live play-level feed in this product, so nothing on this page updates while a game is being played.

Possession by possession

The field rail

5 of 20 drives ended in points. The longest march was NO moving 85 yards from the NO 15 for a touchdown. Each bar is the ground a drive actually covered; JAX attacks right, NO attacks left. Hatching marks a trip inside the twenty.

Every snap

Play stream

159 of 159 plays

Team

Quarter

Down

Play type

Expected points added

Event

Charted

Plays shown

159

EPA per play

-0.11

Success rate

36%

Yards

552

Who was on the field

Personnel groupings

Offensive grouping on every pass and run. A group needs five snaps in this game before it gets a number — under that the sample is a coin flip and the cell reads a dash instead. The names of the eleven on the field are only recorded from 2023 onward, so this game gives the grouping without the roster.

Jaguars1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR33-0.3061%

Saints1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR31+0.0368%

Jaguars1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR9+0.0956%

Saints1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR9-0.1489%

Saints2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR9-0.0456%

Jaguars1 RB, 0 TE, 4 WR5-0.71100%

Jaguars1 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR4——

Saints1 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR4——

Saints1 RB, 1 TE, 1 WR4——

Saints1 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR3——

Jaguars1 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR2——

Saints2 RB, 1 TE, 1 WR2——

Jaguars0 RB, 1 TE, 4 WR1——

Saints2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR1——

snapsepapass rate

159 plays · ranked by the win probability each one moved

Every play

Ball

When

Play

Only

Who

159 plays

Bar length is win probability the play moved

1st quarter44 plays

Punt8 plays, from the Saints 25 to the Saints 49

Punt6 plays, from the Jaguars 9 to the Jaguars 29

Punt9 plays, from the Saints 30 to the Jaguars 44

Punt4 plays, from the Jaguars 2 to the Jaguars 4

Saints3Jaguars0

Field goal7 plays, from the Jaguars 37 to the Jaguars 27

Punt7 plays, from the Jaguars 25 to the Jaguars 30

The period ended2 plays

2nd quarter43 plays

Punt4 plays, from the Saints 44 to midfield

Punt5 plays, from the Jaguars 15 to the Jaguars 21

Punt4 plays, from the Saints 18 to the Saints 24

Saints3Jaguars3

Field goal13 plays, from the Jaguars 30 to the Saints 4

Punt10 plays, from the Saints 23 to the Jaguars 49

The period ended7 plays, from the Jaguars 14 to the Jaguars 29

3rd quarter35 plays

Intercepted5 plays, from the Jaguars 25 to the Jaguars 45

Saints6Jaguars3

Field goal12 plays, from the Saints 40 to the Jaguars 3

FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldFour linemen, two linebackers and five backsIn the boxEight defendersRushing the passerFour
Saints6Jaguars6

Field goal11 plays, from the Jaguars 25 to the Saints 10

The period ended7 plays, from the Saints 25 to the Jaguars 48

4th quarter37 plays

FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldTwo quarterbacks, one back, two tight ends and one receiverDefense on the fieldThree linemen, two linebackers and six backsIn the boxSix defenders
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldThree linemen, three linebackers and five backsRoute runCrosserCoverageCover 1, man with a free safetyMan or zoneManIn the boxSix defendersRushing the passerFourPressure (charted)The passer was kept cleanTime to throw2.6 seconds
Saints12Jaguars6
Saints13Jaguars6

Touchdown8 plays, from the Jaguars 44 to the Jaguars 4

Turnover on downs10 plays, from the Jaguars 25 to the Saints 40

Punt4 plays, from the Saints 40 to the Saints 44

Punt4 plays, from the Jaguars 11 to the Jaguars 16

The period ended11 plays, from the Saints 40 to the Jaguars 7

Win probability is the league play-by-play model, 98.5% of plays · a dash means none was published

Just the plays, on their own page: Saints at Jaguars, every play.

Scores & Schedule.

The game.

Scores & Schedule.

The game.

New Orleans Saints 13, Jaguars 6 — with the result never quite settled.

How the game was won

Highest-leverage plays

The margin ledger

Situational splits

The Read