2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · TIAA Bank Stadium
New Orleans SaintsWinner
13
Jacksonville Jaguars
6
New Orleans Saints 13–6. Biggest swing: Q4 11:53, JAX +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(11:53) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short middle to 87-J.Cook for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 11:53JAX +15% win prob(11:53) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass short middle to 87-J.Cook for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 14:56JAX +9% win prob(14:56) (Shotgun) 7-T.Hill left end pushed ob at JAX 25 for 19 yards (22-C.Davis).
- Q4 · 9:15NO +9% win prob(9:15) (Shotgun) 15-G.Minshew pass incomplete short middle to 18-C.Conley.
- Q2 · 11:31JAX +8% win prob(11:31) 9-L.Cooke punts 61 yards to NO 18, Center-46-M.Orzech, downed by JAX-22-C.Davis.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Saints | Jaguars |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 63 | 54 |
| Total yards | 328 (edge) | 227 |
| Yards per play | 5.2 (edge) | 4.2 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.03 (edge) | -0.26 |
| Success rate | 46% (edge) | 30% |
| Dropback rate | 62% | 59% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.07 (edge) | -0.28 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.01 (edge) | -0.25 |
| Third downs | 5/13 (edge) | 4/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 19 (edge) | 10 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Saints won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.26.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | NO 25 | 7 | 24 | 2:22 | Punt | |
| 2 | JAX | JAX 9 | 6 | 20 | 2:34 | Punt | |
| 3 | NO | NO 30 | 9 | 26 | 4:00 | Punt | |
| 4 | JAX | JAX 2 | 4 | 2 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 5 | NO | JAX 37 | 7 | 8 | 2:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 10 | 1:59 | Punt | |
| 7 | NO | NO 17 | 5 | 33 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 8 | JAX | JAX 15 | 4 | 6 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 9 | NO | NO 18 | 4 | 6 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 10 | JAX | JAX 30 | 13 | 66 | 7:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | NO | NO 23 | 8 | 28 | 1:41 | Punt | |
| 12 | JAX | JAX 14 | 5 | 7 | 1:00 | End of half | |
| 13 | JAX | JAX 25 | 5 | 20 | 1:31 | Interception | |
| 14 | NO | NO 40 | 11 | 67 | 4:49 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | JAX | JAX 25 | 11 | 61 | 5:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | NO | NO 25 | 13 | 85 | 6:22 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | JAX | JAX 25 | 9 | 30 | 2:39 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | NO | NO 40 | 4 | -2 | 1:33 | Punt | |
| 19 | JAX | JAX 11 | 4 | 5 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 20 | NO | NO 40 | 9 | 53 | 6:09 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 85 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- JAX -2.5
- Closing total
- 42.5
- NO moneyline
- +126
- JAX moneyline
- -139
Jaguars closed -2.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 19 — under by 23.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- TIAA Bank Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 81°F, wind 3 mph
- Referee
- Jerome Boger
- Rest
- NO 7 days · JAX 7 days
- Coaches
- Sean Payton vs Doug Marrone