For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants are available only for registry-approved public pages by appending .md to eligible URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown.
Sync your league to My Playbook for custom advice

2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · U.S. Bank Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles

20

Minnesota VikingsWinner

38

MIN -3.5 ✓O 44 ✓Dome

Minnesota Vikings 38–20 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 11:47, MIN +12% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3MINPHI
Q2 · 11:47PHI MIN MIN ball · 1st & 10MIN 79%

(11:47) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 14-S.Diggs for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q2 · 11:47MIN +12% win prob(11:47) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 14-S.Diggs for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q1 · 11:37MIN +10% win prob(11:37) (Shotgun) 8-K.Cousins pass deep middle to 19-A.Thielen to PHI 29 for 20 yards (42-A.Sendejo).
  3. Q3 · 1:22MIN +6% win prob(1:22) 8-K.Cousins pass short middle to 14-S.Diggs for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  4. Q1 · 7:48MIN +6% win prob(7:48) 8-K.Cousins pass short right to 19-A.Thielen for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricEaglesVikings
Offensive plays6564
Total yards400448 (edge)
Yards per play6.27.0 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.110.12 (edge)
Success rate48% (edge)45%
Dropback rate68%48%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.070.58 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.22 (edge)-0.32
Third downs4/12 (edge)2/10
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)9 (edge)8
First downs gained on snaps1922 (edge)
Sacks taken21 (edge)
Turnovers32 (edge)

Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.12 expected points added per play vs -0.11.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1MINMIN 2515707:17Touchdown
2PHIPHI 7582:13Punt
3MINMIN 449303:36Turnover on downs
4PHIPHI 2511354:44Turnover on downs
6PHIPHI 25121012:00Touchdown
7MINMIN 492510:08Touchdown
8PHIPHI 257752:29Touchdown
9MINMIN 256162:32Punt
10PHIPHI 226192:39Punt
11MINMIN 20490:49Interception
12PHIPHI 489310:56Interception
13MINMIN 32100:06End of half
14PHIPHI 258752:49Touchdown
15MINMIN 25793:08Punt
16PHIPHI 455332:44Turnover on downs
17MINMIN 2511755:03Touchdown
18PHIPHI 258233:15Punt
19MINMIN 129854:44Touchdown
20PHIPHI 257452:13Fumble
21MINMIN 49450:22Punt
22PHIPHI 8100:06Interception
23MINPHI 317233:48Fumble
24PHIPHI 344301:48End of game

0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Eagles gained 101 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
MIN -3.5
Closing total
44
PHI moneyline
+157
MIN moneyline
-176

Vikings closed -3.5 and covered, winning by 18.

Total closed 44; the game landed 58 — over by 14.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
U.S. Bank Stadium
Roof / surface
dome · sportturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
PHI 7 days · MIN 7 days
Coaches
Doug Pederson vs Mike Zimmer