2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · FirstEnergy Stadium

Seattle SeahawksWinner

Cleveland Browns

CLE -1 upsetO 45.5 ✓20 mph windBrowns closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Seattle Seahawks 32–28. Biggest swing: Q4 10:43, SEA +22% win probability on one snap. Played in 20 mph wind — weigh that when reading the passing lines.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q4 · 10:43SEA — CLE CLE ball · 4th & 1SEA 52%

(10:43) 24-N.Chubb right guard to SEA 2 for -1 yards (97-P.Ford; 99-Q.Jefferson).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q4 · 10:43SEA +22% win prob(10:43) 24-N.Chubb right guard to SEA 2 for -1 yards (97-P.Ford; 99-Q.Jefferson).
Q3 · 1:07SEA +18% win prob(1:07) 22-C.Prosise up the middle to SEA 48 for -1 yards (54-O.Vernon). FUMBLES (54-O.Vernon), touched at SEA 48, RECOVERED by CLE-99-D.Lawrence at SEA 45. 99-D.Lawrence to SEA 45 for no gain (74-G.Fant).
Q3 · 9:06SEA +16% win prob(9:06) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 24-N.Chubb to SEA 39 for no gain (94-E.Ansah). FUMBLES (94-E.Ansah), RECOVERED by SEA-94-E.Ansah at SEA 39. 94-E.Ansah to SEA 42 for 3 yards (74-C.Hubbard).
Q4 · 3:57CLE +15% win prob(3:57) 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 16-T.Lockett for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 3-R.Wilson pass short right to 16-T.Lockett to CLE 1 for 15 yards (39-T.Mitchell).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Seahawks	Browns
Offensive plays	73	61
Total yards	456 (edge)	406
Yards per play	6.2	6.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play	0.19 (edge)	-0.05
Success rate	49% (edge)	46%
Dropback rate	56%	66%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	0.51 (edge)	-0.04
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.22	-0.07 (edge)
Third downs	6/13 (edge)	3/8
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	11 (edge)	7
First downs gained on snaps	26 (edge)	19
Sacks taken	3	0 (edge)
Turnovers	1 (edge)	4

Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.19 expected points added per play vs -0.05.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	CLE	SEA 23	5	18	1:59	Touchdown
2	SEA	SEA 25	9	80	4:09	Touchdown
3	CLE	CLE 31	12	69	4:09	Touchdown
4	SEA	SEA 25	9	36	3:24	Punt
5	CLE	CLE 8	4	92	1:25	Touchdown
6	SEA	SEA 25	10	55	4:08	Turnover on downs
7	CLE	CLE 25	5	1	0:40	Punt
8	SEA	CLE 20	6	18	2:41	Turnover on downs
9	CLE	CLE 25	5	29	1:13	Interception
10	SEA	SEA 39	4	7	1:10	Punt
11	CLE	CLE 20	9	70	3:33	Interception
12	SEA	SEA 12	9	83	1:07	Touchdown
13	CLE	CLE 25	5	23	0:22	End of half
14	SEA	SEA 25	5	2	2:28	Punt
15	CLE	CLE 40	7	31	3:38	Fumble
16	SEA	SEA 42	8	53	2:54	Touchdown
17	CLE	CLE 25	6	21	2:23	Punt
18	SEA	SEA 12	6	36	2:36	Fumble
19	CLE	SEA 45	10	23	5:22	Turnover on downs
20	SEA	SEA 2	4	-1	0:51	Punt
21	CLE	SEA 24	2	24	0:46	Touchdown
22	SEA	SEA 21	11	64	5:32	Touchdown
23	CLE	CLE 25	3	5	0:49	Interception
24	SEA	CLE 26	8	23	2:41	End of game

0 of 24 drives ended in points. Longest march: Browns gained 92 scrimmage yards over 4 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: CLE -1
Closing total: 45.5
SEA moneyline: +102
CLE moneyline: -113

Browns closed -1 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 45.5; the game landed 60 — over by 14.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 58°F, wind 20 mph
Referee: Adrian Hill
Rest: SEA 10 days · CLE 6 days
Coaches: Pete Carroll vs Freddie Kitchens

Wind at 20 mph is the kind that drags passing depth and kicking range — weigh it when reading the splits.