2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
San Francisco 49ersWinner
20
Los Angeles Rams
7
San Francisco 49ers 20–7. Biggest swing: Q2 12:42, SF +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(12:42) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at LA -3. Touchback (19-D.Samuel). PENALTY on SF-19-D.Samuel, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at LA 20.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 12:42SF +15% win prob(12:42) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right intended for 19-D.Samuel INTERCEPTED by 22-M.Peters at LA -3. Touchback (19-D.Samuel). PENALTY on SF-19-D.Samuel, Face Mask (15 Yards), 15 yards, enforced at LA 20.
- Q3 · 14:54SF +14% win prob(14:54) 16-J.Goff FUMBLES (Aborted) at LA 17, RECOVERED by SF-91-A.Armstead at LA 17. 91-A.Armstead to LA 17 for no gain (27-D.Henderson).
- Q2 · 14:52LA +11% win prob(14:52) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short right to 85-G.Kittle to LA 6 for 45 yards (20-T.Hill, 50-S.Ebukam) [69-S.Joseph].
- Q1 · 13:42SF +9% win prob(13:42) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo sacked at SF 13 for -9 yards (99-A.Donald).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | 49ers | Rams |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 74 | 50 |
| Total yards | 333 (edge) | 157 |
| Yards per play | 4.5 (edge) | 3.1 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.08 (edge) | -0.59 |
| Success rate | 43% (edge) | 38% |
| Dropback rate | 47% | 56% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.00 (edge) | -0.65 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.15 (edge) | -0.50 |
| Third downs | 8/17 (edge) | 0/10 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 2 | 3 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 10 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 4 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.59.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | SF 17 | 5 | -4 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 2 | LA | LA 44 | 8 | 56 | 3:36 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | SF | SF 25 | 12 | 65 | 5:38 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | LA | LA 26 | 5 | -1 | 2:04 | Punt | |
| 5 | SF | SF 24 | 9 | 75 | 4:00 | Interception | |
| 6 | LA | LA 35 | 9 | 24 | 3:51 | Punt | |
| 7 | SF | SF 11 | 4 | -1 | 2:07 | Punt | |
| 8 | LA | SF 46 | 6 | 45 | 3:23 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | SF | SF 1 | 13 | 62 | 3:14 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | LA | LA 24 | 2 | 0 | 0:09 | Fumble | |
| 11 | SF | LA 17 | 5 | 17 | 2:01 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | LA | LA 25 | 5 | -5 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 13 | SF | SF 43 | 12 | 55 | 6:18 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | LA | LA 15 | 5 | -7 | 1:17 | Punt | |
| 15 | SF | SF 42 | 11 | 43 | 6:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | LA | LA 25 | 7 | 19 | 1:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | SF | LA 45 | 3 | 3 | 1:40 | Fumble | |
| 18 | LA | SF 36 | 4 | 17 | 1:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | SF | SF 28 | 4 | 2 | 1:44 | Punt | |
| 20 | LA | LA 32 | 4 | -17 | 1:19 | Punt | |
| 21 | SF | SF 42 | 4 | 4 | 1:06 | Punt | |
| 22 | LA | LA 30 | 6 | 26 | 1:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 23 | SF | LA 46 | 5 | 12 | 2:19 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a interception.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LA -3
- Closing total
- 49.5
- SF moneyline
- +133
- LA moneyline
- -148
Rams closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49.5; the game landed 27 — under by 22.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 77°F, wind 2 mph
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- SF 6 days · LA 10 days
- Coaches
- Kyle Shanahan vs Sean McVay
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.