2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · Empower Field at Mile High

Tennessee Titans

Denver BroncosWinner

DEN -1 ✓U 41 ✓Broncos closed -1 and covered, winning by 16.

Denver Broncos 16–0. Biggest swing: Q2 0:48, TEN +11% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

Q2 · 0:48TEN — DEN TEN ball · 1st & 10DEN 67%

(:48) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 19-T.Sharpe INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 39. 25-C.Harris to TEN 45 for 16 yards (64-N.Davis). PENALTY on DEN-95-D.Wolfe, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 y

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

Q2 · 0:48TEN +11% win prob(:48) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle intended for 19-T.Sharpe INTERCEPTED by 25-C.Harris at DEN 39. 25-C.Harris to TEN 45 for 16 yards (64-N.Davis). PENALTY on DEN-95-D.Wolfe, Illegal Block Above the Waist, 10 yards, enforced at 50.
Q3 · 12:36TEN +8% win prob(12:36) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep right intended for 87-N.Fant INTERCEPTED by 31-K.Byard at TEN 20. 31-K.Byard to TEN 45 for 25 yards (28-R.Freeman).
Q2 · 0:59DEN +7% win prob(:59) 6-C.Wadman punts 53 yards to TEN 41, Center-42-C.Kreiter. 10-A.Humphries to TEN 48 for 7 yards (36-T.Marshall).
Q2 · 1:01TEN +7% win prob(1:01) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco Aborted. 60-C.McGovern FUMBLES at DEN 6, recovered by DEN-5-J.Flacco at DEN 6. 5-J.Flacco to DEN 6 for no gain (58-H.Landry).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric	Titans	Broncos
Offensive plays	61	57
Total yards	205	272 (edge)
Yards per play	3.4	4.8 (edge)
Expected points added / play	-0.40	-0.16 (edge)
Success rate	34%	35% (edge)
Dropback rate	70%	53%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.36	-0.12 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)	-0.52	-0.19 (edge)
Third downs	2/14	2/14
Red-zone trips → TDs	0 → 0	0 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)	1	2 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps	9	11 (edge)
Sacks taken	7	1 (edge)
Turnovers	3	1 (edge)

Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.16 expected points added per play vs -0.40.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#	Team	Start	Plays	Scrim yds	Clock	Result
1	TEN	TEN 25	5	3	1:40	Punt
2	DEN	TEN 45	8	32	3:04	Turnover on downs
3	TEN	TEN 25	5	7	1:37	Punt
4	DEN	DEN 12	7	21	2:55	Punt
5	TEN	TEN 15	7	30	3:44	Punt
6	DEN	DEN 15	4	14	2:07	Punt
7	TEN	TEN 21	7	15	2:57	Punt
8	DEN	DEN 14	4	7	1:23	Punt
9	TEN	TEN 27	7	9	3:09	Punt
10	DEN	DEN 15	5	50	2:44	Turnover on downs
11	TEN	TEN 25	7	19	2:47	Punt
12	DEN	DEN 16	4	4	1:05	Punt
13	TEN	TEN 48	1	0	0:11	Interception
14	DEN	DEN 40	4	9	0:25	Punt
15	TEN	TEN 20	1	0	0:12	End of half
16	DEN	DEN 25	6	20	2:35	Interception
17	TEN	TEN 45	4	5	1:33	Punt
18	DEN	DEN 10	5	21	1:52	Punt
19	TEN	TEN 14	3	1	0:54	Interception
20	DEN	TEN 41	7	41	3:10	Touchdown
21	TEN	TEN 30	5	8	2:38	Punt
22	DEN	DEN 15	4	3	1:48	Punt
23	TEN	TEN 44	6	15	2:53	Punt
24	DEN	DEN 3	4	1	1:00	Punt
25	TEN	DEN 36	6	15	2:27	Turnover on downs
26	DEN	DEN 21	8	49	4:17	Turnover on downs
27	TEN	TEN 25	12	78	3:32	Interception
28	DEN	DEN 27	2	0	1:21	End of game

0 of 28 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 78 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a interception.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread: DEN -1
Closing total: 41
TEN moneyline: +109
DEN moneyline: -121

Broncos closed -1 and covered, winning by 16.

Total closed 41; the game landed 16 — under by 25.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Roof / surface: outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather: 69°F, wind 7 mph
Referee: Alex Kemp
Rest: TEN 7 days · DEN 7 days
Coaches: Mike Vrabel vs Vic Fangio