2019 Week 6 · Sun, Oct 13, 2019 · Hard Rock Stadium
Washington CommandersWinner
17
Miami Dolphins
16
Washington Commanders 17–16 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:10, MIA +27% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:10) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 11-D.Parker for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-67-D.Kilgore was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:10MIA +27% win prob(:10) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 11-D.Parker for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN. MIA-67-D.Kilgore was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.
- Q4 · 0:06WAS +26% win prob(Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass to 32-K.Drake is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.
- Q2 · 11:42MIA +9% win prob(11:42) 8-C.Keenum pass deep left to 17-T.McLaurin for 25 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 2:40MIA +7% win prob(2:40) (Punt formation) Direct snap to 27-K.Ballage. 27-K.Ballage right end pushed ob at WAS 39 for 6 yards (39-J.Reaves).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Commanders | Dolphins |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 57 | 69 |
| Total yards | 312 (edge) | 271 |
| Yards per play | 5.5 (edge) | 3.9 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.02 (edge) | -0.19 |
| Success rate | 33% | 36% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 46% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.03 (edge) | -0.32 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.06 | 0.13 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/11 | 3/14 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 (edge) | 4 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 12 | 18 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Commanders won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.02 expected points added per play vs -0.19.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WAS | WAS 25 | 5 | 9 | 2:11 | Punt | |
| 2 | MIA | MIA 13 | 5 | -1 | 2:37 | Punt | |
| 3 | WAS | WAS 18 | 4 | 8 | 1:03 | Punt | |
| 4 | MIA | MIA 26 | 4 | -6 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 5 | WAS | WAS 28 | 4 | 3 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 6 | MIA | MIA 38 | 11 | 28 | 5:57 | Punt | |
| 7 | WAS | WAS 7 | 9 | 93 | 3:40 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 39 | 3:47 | Interception | |
| 9 | WAS | WAS 31 | 4 | 7 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 10 | MIA | MIA 16 | 10 | 44 | 5:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | WAS | WAS 25 | 6 | 18 | 1:07 | End of half | |
| 12 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:46 | Punt | |
| 13 | WAS | WAS 30 | 7 | 55 | 3:32 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | MIA | MIA 25 | 4 | 4 | 1:25 | Interception | |
| 15 | WAS | MIA 34 | 8 | 33 | 4:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | MIA | MIA 17 | 5 | -1 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 17 | WAS | WAS 36 | 7 | 27 | 3:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 18 | MIA | MIA 45 | 10 | 53 | 3:59 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | WAS | WAS 23 | 5 | 4 | 1:08 | Punt | |
| 20 | MIA | MIA 26 | 5 | 26 | 1:57 | Punt | |
| 21 | WAS | WAS 12 | 4 | 7 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 22 | MIA | WAS 41 | 4 | 1 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 23 | WAS | WAS 1 | 8 | 48 | 2:39 | Punt | |
| 24 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 75 | 1:56 | Touchdown | |
| 25 | WAS | MIA 47 | 2 | 0 | 0:06 | End of game |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Commanders gained 93 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- WAS -6
- Closing total
- 42
- WAS moneyline
- -240
- MIA moneyline
- +210
Commanders closed -6, won by 1 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42; the game landed 33 — under by 9.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 84°F, wind 13 mph
- Referee
- Shawn Smith
- Rest
- WAS 7 days · MIA 14 days
- Coaches
- Bill Callahan vs Brian Flores