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2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · MetLife Stadium

Arizona CardinalsWinner

27

New York Giants

21

NYG -3.5 upsetU 49.5 ✓

Arizona Cardinals 27–21. Biggest swing: Q3 7:33, ARI +20% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3NYGARI
Q3 · 7:33ARI NYG NYG ball · 2nd & 8NYG 55%

(7:33) 8-D.Jones sacked at ARI 49 for -12 yards (55-Cha.Jones). FUMBLES (55-Cha.Jones) [55-Cha.Jones], RECOVERED by ARI-55-Cha.Jones at ARI 49. 55-Cha.Jones to ARI 49 for no gain (8-D.Jones).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 7:33ARI +20% win prob(7:33) 8-D.Jones sacked at ARI 49 for -12 yards (55-Cha.Jones). FUMBLES (55-Cha.Jones) [55-Cha.Jones], RECOVERED by ARI-55-Cha.Jones at ARI 49. 55-Cha.Jones to ARI 49 for no gain (8-D.Jones).
  2. Q1 · 5:49ARI +12% win prob(5:49) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right intended for 15-G.Tate INTERCEPTED by 58-J.Hicks at NYG 46. 58-J.Hicks to NYG 32 for 14 yards (70-K.Zeitler).
  3. Q3 · 3:34NYG +11% win prob(3:34) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 15-G.Tate to ARI 24 for 15 yards (58-J.Hicks).
  4. Q2 · 2:09NYG +10% win prob(2:09) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short middle to 15-G.Tate to ARI 37 for 14 yards (58-J.Hicks; 35-D.Thompson).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricCardinalsGiants
Offensive plays5865
Total yards252263 (edge)
Yards per play4.3 (edge)4.0
Expected points added / play0.08 (edge)-0.19
Success rate36%40% (edge)
Dropback rate47%72%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.21 (edge)-0.22
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.03 (edge)-0.12
Third downs7/15 (edge)4/12
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)7 (edge)6
First downs gained on snaps1619 (edge)
Sacks taken2 (edge)8
Turnovers0 (edge)3

Giants outgained Cardinals 263–252 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1ARIARI 2515756:46Touchdown
2NYGNYG 257102:36Interception
3ARINYG 324321:23Touchdown
4NYGNYG 405-71:16Punt
5ARIARI 179444:29Turnover on downs
6NYGNYG 216742:02Touchdown
7ARIARI 145-101:36Defensive touchdown
8ARIARI 2512424:00Punt
9NYGNYG 2012535:06Punt
10ARIARI 16200:46End of half
11NYGNYG 25512:03Punt
12ARIARI 364141:45Punt
13NYGNYG 328143:46Fumble
14ARIARI 494361:21Touchdown
15NYGNYG 2713494:58Turnover on downs
16ARIARI 277-23:10Punt
17NYGNYG 189824:44Touchdown
18ARIARI 258213:50Punt
19NYGNYG 255-51:55Fumble
20ARINYG 17400:19Turnover on downs
21NYGNYG 127-81:35Turnover on downs
22ARINYG 4100:34End of game

0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 82 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
NYG -3.5
Closing total
49.5
ARI moneyline
+168
NYG moneyline
-188

Giants closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 49.5; the game landed 48 — under by 1.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
MetLife Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
56°F, wind 3 mph
Referee
Adrian Hill
Rest
ARI 7 days · NYG 10 days
Coaches
Kliff Kingsbury vs Pat Shurmur