2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · CenturyLink Field
Baltimore RavensWinner
30
Seattle Seahawks
16
Baltimore Ravens 30–16. Biggest swing: Q2 5:12, BAL +32% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:12) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right intended for 18-J.Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at BAL 33. 24-M.Peters for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 5:12BAL +32% win prob(5:12) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short right intended for 18-J.Brown INTERCEPTED by 24-M.Peters at BAL 33. 24-M.Peters for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 1:24SEA +15% win prob(1:24) (Shotgun) 74-J.Hurst reported in as eligible. 8-L.Jackson right tackle for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 2:00SEA +14% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 16-T.Lockett to BAL 34 for 33 yards (44-M.Humphrey).
- Q3 · 6:51BAL +13% win prob(6:51) 5-J.Myers 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Ravens | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 68 |
| Total yards | 343 | 347 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.5 (edge) | 5.1 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.17 (edge) | -0.21 |
| Success rate | 38% | 44% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 49% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.36 (edge) | -0.29 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (edge) | -0.07 |
| Third downs | 5/12 | 10/17 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 18 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 1 | 1 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Seahawks outgained Ravens 347–343 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | BAL 16 | 9 | 77 | 4:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 27 | 5 | 1 | 1:44 | Punt | |
| 3 | BAL | BAL 28 | 7 | 18 | 2:49 | Punt | |
| 4 | SEA | SEA 17 | 12 | 83 | 6:00 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | BAL | BAL 25 | 10 | 65 | 3:40 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | SEA | SEA 25 | 10 | 44 | 3:31 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | BAL | BAL 25 | 5 | 5 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 8 | SEA | SEA 45 | 4 | 21 | 1:31 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 8 | 15 | 74 | 4:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | BAL | — | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half | |
| 11 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 16 | 2:08 | Punt | |
| 12 | BAL | BAL 13 | 4 | 9 | 1:23 | Punt | |
| 13 | SEA | SEA 35 | 8 | 30 | 4:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | BAL | BAL 43 | 12 | 62 | 5:26 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | SEA | SEA 25 | 9 | 14 | 3:33 | Punt | |
| 16 | BAL | BAL 10 | 13 | 96 | 9:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | SEA | SEA 25 | 2 | 1 | 0:10 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 18 | SEA | SEA 20 | 10 | 63 | 1:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | BAL | BAL 31 | 6 | 11 | 1:49 | End of game |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Ravens gained 96 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -3
- Closing total
- 49
- BAL moneyline
- +141
- SEA moneyline
- -157
Seahawks closed -3 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 49; the game landed 46 — under by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- CenturyLink Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 50°F, wind 8 mph
- Referee
- Brad Allen
- Rest
- BAL 7 days · SEA 7 days
- Coaches
- John Harbaugh vs Pete Carroll