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2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · Lucas Oil Stadium
23
30
Indianapolis Colts 30–23. Biggest swing: Q2 7:34, HOU +10% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(7:34) (Shotgun) 7-J.Brissett FUMBLES (Aborted) at IND 12, touched at IND 12, RECOVERED by HOU-59-W.Mercilus at IND 6. 59-W.Mercilus to IND 4 for 2 yards (78-R.Kelly).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Texans | Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 65 |
| Total yards | 391 (edge) | 385 |
| Yards per play | 6.4 (edge) | 5.9 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.02 | 0.08 (edge) |
| Success rate | 52% (edge) | 40% |
| Dropback rate | 66% | 66% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.08 | 0.46 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 (edge) | -0.66 |
| Third downs | 4/12 | 8/16 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 7 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 18 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 1 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 (edge) |
Texans outgained Colts 391–385 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | HOU 16 | 8 | 37 | 5:00 | Punt | |
| 2 | IND | IND 6 | 13 | 94 | 4:59 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | HOU | HOU 34 | 8 | 28 | 3:13 | Punt | |
| 4 | IND | IND 20 | 8 | 15 | 3:44 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | HOU | IND 45 | 7 | 31 | 4:05 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | IND | IND 20 | 4 | 6 | 1:32 | Fumble | |
| 7 | HOU | IND 4 | 4 | -9 | 1:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | IND | IND 25 | 11 | 80 | 4:36 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | HOU | HOU 25 | 9 | 67 | 1:26 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | IND | IND 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:23 | End of half | |
| 11 | IND | IND 26 | 10 | 74 | 4:31 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | HOU | HOU 25 | 7 | 75 | 1:46 | Touchdown | |
| 13 | IND | IND 25 | 14 | 81 | 7:29 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | HOU | HOU 26 | 9 | 22 | 3:12 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | IND | HOU 48 | 4 | 6 | 0:53 | Punt | |
| 16 | HOU | HOU 11 | 6 | 48 | 2:38 | Interception | |
| 17 | IND | IND 34 | 4 | 1 | 0:50 | Punt | |
| 18 | HOU | HOU 21 | 7 | 79 | 2:03 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | IND | IND 26 | 6 | 27 | 2:29 | Punt | |
| 20 | HOU | HOU 4 | 4 | -4 | 1:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | IND | IND 20 | 5 | 1 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 22 | HOU | HOU 36 | 4 | 17 | 1:15 | Interception | |
| 23 | IND | IND 32 | 1 | 0 | 0:26 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Colts gained 94 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Colts closed -1.5 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 46.5; the game landed 53 — over by 6.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
