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2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · Nissan Stadium

Los Angeles Chargers

20

Tennessee TitansWinner

23

TEN -3 pushO 42.5 ✓

Tennessee Titans 23–20 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:19, LAC +50% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3TEN ↑LAC ↓
Q4 · 0:19LAC — TEN LAC ball · 2nd & 1LAC 53%

(:19) 25-M.Gordon right guard to TEN 1 for no gain (59-W.Woodyard). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 25-M.Gordon right guard to TEN 1 for no gain (59-W.Woodya

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:19LAC +50% win prob(:19) 25-M.Gordon right guard to TEN 1 for no gain (59-W.Woodyard). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 25-M.Gordon right guard to TEN 1 for no gain (59-W.Woodyard). FUMBLES (59-W.Woodyard), RECOVERED by TEN-99-J.Casey at TEN 0. Touchback.
  2. Q4 · 0:44TEN +19% win prob(:44) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 30-A.Ekeler for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 30-A.Ekeler to TEN 1 for 15 yards (24-K.Vaccaro; 26-L.Ryan).
  3. Q3 · 7:17LAC +17% win prob(7:17) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left intended for 11-A.Brown INTERCEPTED by 36-R.Teamer (42-U.Nwosu) [42-U.Nwosu] at LAC 38. 36-R.Teamer to LAC 41 for 3 yards (11-A.Brown).
  4. Q4 · 0:34LAC +15% win prob(:34) (Shotgun) 25-M.Gordon right tackle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 25-M.Gordon right tackle to TEN 1 for no gain (98-J.Simmons, 54-R.Evans).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersTitans
Offensive plays6060
Total yards365404 (edge)
Yards per play6.16.7 (edge)
Expected points added / play0.040.18 (edge)
Success rate47%52% (edge)
Dropback rate65%55%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.360.47 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.55-0.18 (edge)
Third downs6/116/11
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)56 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps2122 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)2
Turnovers11

Titans won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.18 expected points added per play vs 0.04.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 2510444:04Turnover on downs
2TENTEN 319484:54Turnover on downs
3LACLAC 2513496:00Turnover on downs
4TENTEN 219393:47Punt
5LACLAC 615947:37Touchdown
6TENTEN 1410863:15Touchdown
7LACLAC 19230:23End of half
8TENTEN 178294:43Punt
9LACLAC 94-21:45Punt
10TENTEN 493111:22Interception
11LACLAC 41641:50Punt
12TENTEN 1515907:09Touchdown
13LACLAC 257482:16Turnover on downs
14TENTEN 259754:16Touchdown
15LACLAC 256751:30Touchdown
16TENTEN 258262:34Turnover on downs
17LACLAC 498502:20Fumble
18TENTEN 20100:15End of game

0 of 18 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 94 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
TEN -3
Closing total
42.5
LAC moneyline
+141
TEN moneyline
-157

Titans closed -3 and it landed exactly on the number — a push.

Total closed 42.5; the game landed 43 — over by 0.5.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Nissan Stadium
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
77°F, wind 2 mph
Referee
Bill Vinovich
Rest
LAC 7 days · TEN 7 days
Coaches
Anthony Lynn vs Mike Vrabel