2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Los Angeles RamsWinner
37
Atlanta Falcons
10
Los Angeles Rams 37–10 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 5:11, LA +15% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(5:11) 4-G.Zuerlein 40 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 5:11LA +15% win prob(5:11) 4-G.Zuerlein 40 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright, Center-44-J.McQuaide, Holder-6-J.Hekker.
- Q1 · 6:57ATL +11% win prob(6:57) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short left to 17-R.Woods to ATL 30 for 16 yards (26-I.Oliver).
- Q2 · 11:22ATL +9% win prob(11:22) (Shotgun) 16-J.Goff pass short right to 30-T.Gurley for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q2 · 4:24ATL +7% win prob(4:24) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker pass short right to 33-N.Scott pushed ob at ATL 23 for 23 yards (28-J.Miller).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Rams | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 74 | 52 |
| Total yards | 381 (edge) | 225 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 (edge) | 4.3 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.14 (edge) | -0.26 |
| Success rate | 46% (edge) | 44% |
| Dropback rate | 51% | 75% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.48 (edge) | -0.25 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.22 (edge) | -0.27 |
| Third downs | 8/16 (edge) | 3/12 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 (edge) | 1 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 22 (edge) | 13 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 5 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Rams won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.14 expected points added per play vs -0.26.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ATL | ATL 33 | 8 | 31 | 3:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | LA | LA 25 | 16 | 60 | 6:17 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | ATL | ATL 30 | 4 | -15 | 2:00 | Punt | |
| 4 | LA | LA 43 | 5 | 20 | 1:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | ATL | ATL 25 | 7 | 26 | 1:42 | Punt | |
| 6 | LA | LA 15 | 10 | 70 | 3:44 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | ATL | ATL 25 | 10 | 25 | 4:29 | Punt | |
| 8 | LA | LA 23 | 11 | 75 | 4:51 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | ATL | ATL 25 | 6 | 43 | 0:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | LA | LA 40 | 4 | 0 | 0:19 | Punt | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 45 | 4 | -9 | 0:35 | Punt | |
| 12 | LA | LA 49 | 2 | 4 | 0:17 | End of half | |
| 13 | LA | LA 25 | 11 | 75 | 4:25 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | ATL | ATL 25 | 3 | 8 | 0:52 | Interception | |
| 15 | LA | ATL 16 | 6 | 16 | 3:09 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | ATL | ATL 32 | 5 | -1 | 2:03 | Punt | |
| 17 | LA | LA 28 | 4 | 0 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 18 | ATL | ATL 29 | 8 | 35 | 3:31 | Fumble | |
| 19 | LA | LA 36 | 15 | 59 | 8:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | ATL | ATL 25 | 10 | 75 | 3:06 | Touchdown | |
| 21 | LA | ATL 48 | 5 | 9 | 2:25 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 22 | ATL | ATL 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:11 | End of game |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Rams gained 75 scrimmage yards over 11 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- LA -3
- Closing total
- 54.5
- LA moneyline
- -154
- ATL moneyline
- +139
Rams closed -3 and covered, winning by 27.
Total closed 54.5; the game landed 47 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Roof / surface
- open · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Ronald Torbert
- Rest
- LA 7 days · ATL 7 days
- Coaches
- Sean McVay vs Dan Quinn