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2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · New Era Field
21
31
Buffalo Bills 31–21. Biggest swing: Q2 0:41, MIA +24% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:41) (Shotgun) 26-D.Singletary left tackle to BUF 17 for 1 yard (30-C.Lammons, 47-V.Biegel).
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Dolphins | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 65 | 52 |
| Total yards | 381 (edge) | 307 |
| Yards per play | 5.9 | 5.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.05 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Success rate | 48% | 50% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 58% | 58% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.14 | 0.34 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.09 | 0.02 (edge) |
| Third downs | 7/13 (edge) | 4/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 21 (edge) | 17 |
| Sacks taken | 1 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 (edge) |
Dolphins outgained Bills 381–307 but lost the turnover battle 2–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | BUF 25 | 11 | 44 | 4:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | MIA | MIA 20 | 8 | 13 | 3:50 | Punt | |
| 3 | BUF | BUF 30 | 7 | 55 | 3:16 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | MIA | MIA 25 | 10 | 70 | 3:59 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | BUF | BUF 25 | 10 | 59 | 4:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 6 | MIA | MIA 25 | 9 | 60 | 4:15 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | BUF | BUF 25 | 5 | -7 | 1:25 | Punt | |
| 8 | MIA | MIA 37 | 4 | -2 | 2:20 | Punt | |
| 9 | BUF | BUF 25 | 3 | -3 | 2:06 | End of half | |
| 10 | MIA | MIA 25 | 17 | 71 | 9:59 | Interception | |
| 11 | BUF | BUF 2 | 13 | 110 | 6:11 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | MIA | MIA 25 | 7 | 18 | 2:45 | Punt | |
| 13 | BUF | BUF 20 | 5 | 29 | 2:09 | Punt | |
| 14 | MIA | MIA 8 | 2 | 19 | 0:59 | Fumble | |
| 15 | BUF | MIA 16 | 4 | 16 | 1:26 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | MIA | MIA 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:32 | Punt | |
| 17 | BUF | BUF 36 | 4 | 4 | 1:00 | Punt | |
| 18 | MIA | MIA 40 | 12 | 59 | 2:14 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | BUF | — | 2 | 0 | 0:07 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 20 | MIA | MIA 25 | 6 | 64 | 1:38 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Bills gained 110 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Bills closed -17, won by 10 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 42.5; the game landed 52 — over by 9.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
