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2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · Ford Field
42
30
Minnesota Vikings 42–30. Biggest swing: Q2 0:06, DET +18% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
(:06) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 11-M.Jones for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
| Metric | Vikings | Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 67 | 68 |
| Total yards | 507 (edge) | 433 |
| Yards per play | 7.6 (edge) | 6.4 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.45 (edge) | 0.16 |
| Success rate | 54% | 54% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 51% | 71% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.74 (edge) | 0.25 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.15 (edge) | -0.04 |
| Third downs | 6/9 (edge) | 6/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 9 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 29 (edge) | 23 |
| Sacks taken | 0 (edge) | 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Vikings won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.45 expected points added per play vs 0.16.
Possession by possession
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | DET 25 | 10 | 33 | 2:23 | Punt | |
| 2 | MIN | MIN 9 | 5 | 24 | 2:00 | Punt | |
| 3 | DET | DET 23 | 8 | 46 | 3:03 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | MIN | MIN 27 | 7 | 73 | 2:20 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | DET | DET 25 | 11 | 70 | 5:01 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | MIN | MIN 39 | 10 | 54 | 2:34 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | DET | DET 27 | 5 | 16 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 8 | MIN | MIN 3 | 16 | 97 | 7:19 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | DET | DET 25 | 13 | 73 | 3:24 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | MIN | — | 1 | 0 | 0:02 | End of half | |
| 11 | MIN | MIN 25 | 14 | 75 | 5:58 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 8 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 13 | MIN | MIN 21 | 4 | 3 | 1:04 | Punt | |
| 14 | DET | DET 12 | 7 | 60 | 3:01 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | MIN | MIN 26 | 12 | 47 | 5:30 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | DET | DET 35 | 6 | 29 | 4:00 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | MIN | MIN 41 | 7 | 59 | 3:12 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | DET | DET 25 | 12 | 75 | 2:35 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | MIN | MIN 25 | 6 | 75 | 1:10 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | DET | DET 25 | 5 | 23 | 0:54 | Interception | |
| 21 | MIN | MIN 20 | 4 | 0 | 1:01 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Vikings gained 97 scrimmage yards over 16 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Vikings closed -2.5 and covered, winning by 12.
Total closed 43.5; the game landed 72 — over by 28.5.
Conditions and crew
Division game — familiarity tightens these matchups; closing numbers tend to be sharper.
