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2019 Week 7 · Sun, Oct 20, 2019 · FedExField

San Francisco 49ersWinner

9

Washington Commanders

0

SF -10 no coverU 39 ✓

San Francisco 49ers 9–0. Biggest swing: Q3 1:29, SF +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3WASSF
Q3 · 1:29SF WAS WAS ball · 1st & 10SF 70%

(1:29) 26-A.Peterson right tackle to SF 29 for no gain (56-K.Alexander). FUMBLES (56-K.Alexander), RECOVERED by SF-77-J.Taylor at SF 31. 77-J.Taylor to SF 41 for 10 yards (13-K.Harmon).

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q3 · 1:29SF +15% win prob(1:29) 26-A.Peterson right tackle to SF 29 for no gain (56-K.Alexander). FUMBLES (56-K.Alexander), RECOVERED by SF-77-J.Taylor at SF 31. 77-J.Taylor to SF 41 for 10 yards (13-K.Harmon).
  2. Q3 · 12:41SF +12% win prob(12:41) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass deep left intended for 18-D.Pettis INTERCEPTED by 30-T.Apke at WAS 14. 30-T.Apke pushed ob at WAS 47 for 33 yards (68-M.Person).
  3. Q2 · 6:48WAS +10% win prob(6:48) (Shotgun) 8-C.Keenum pass short right to 34-W.Smallwood to SF 37 for 18 yards (20-J.Ward).
  4. Q3 · 8:48WAS +9% win prob(8:48) (Shotgun) 10-J.Garoppolo pass short middle to 13-R.James Jr. to WAS 30 for 40 yards (31-F.Moreau).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

Metric49ersCommanders
Offensive plays6241
Total yards283 (edge)154
Yards per play4.6 (edge)3.8
Expected points added / play-0.07 (edge)-0.28
Success rate37% (edge)32%
Dropback rate40%37%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.14 (edge)-0.05
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.21 (edge)-0.42
Third downs7/16 (edge)3/9
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)5 (edge)4
First downs gained on snaps15 (edge)9
Sacks taken2 (edge)3
Turnovers11

49ers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: -0.07 expected points added per play vs -0.28.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1WASWAS 1913658:14Turnover on downs
2SFSF 297133:04Punt
3WASWAS 10451:44Punt
4SFSF 4613336:02Turnover on downs
5WASWAS 3510516:54Turnover on downs
6SFSF 296132:12Punt
7WASWAS 124-30:27Punt
8SFSF 34591:23End of half
9SFSF 257372:30Interception
10WASWAS 474-42:25Punt
11SFSF 238674:37Turnover on downs
12WASWAS 227474:08Fumble
13SFSF 4112557:17Turnover on downs
14WASWAS 25542:21Punt
15SFSF 3311566:19Turnover on downs
16WASWAS 203-110:23End of game

0 of 16 drives ended in points. Longest march: 49ers gained 67 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
SF -10
Closing total
39
SF moneyline
-424
WAS moneyline
+350

49ers closed -10, won by 9 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 39; the game landed 9 — under by 30.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
FedExField
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
55°F, wind 12 mph
Referee
Clete Blakeman
Rest
SF 7 days · WAS 7 days
Coaches
Kyle Shanahan vs Bill Callahan