2019 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Arizona Cardinals
9
New Orleans SaintsWinner
31
New Orleans Saints 31–9 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q1 8:36, NO +12% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(8:36) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 85-C.Clay to NO 14 for 47 yards (43-M.Williams). Pass 31, YAC 16
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 8:36NO +12% win prob(8:36) (Shotgun) 1-K.Murray pass deep left to 85-C.Clay to NO 14 for 47 yards (43-M.Williams). Pass 31, YAC 16
- Q1 · 2:43NO +11% win prob(2:43) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short left to 7-T.Hill pushed ob at ARI 24 for 22 yards (35-D.Thompson). Pass 5, YAC 17
- Q1 · 9:00ARI +8% win prob(9:00) 3-W.Lutz 47 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-49-Z.Wood, Holder-6-T.Morstead. INJURY UPDATE: ARI #54 Marsh, concussion protocol.
- Q2 · 0:06ARI +7% win prob(:06) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 85-D.Arnold for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on NO-72-T.Armstead, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at ARI 20 - No Play.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Cardinals | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 49 | 70 |
| Total yards | 237 | 512 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.8 | 7.3 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.33 | 0.23 (edge) |
| Success rate | 35% | 49% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 78% | 61% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.28 | 0.32 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.49 | 0.08 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/12 | 7/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 3 | 10 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 10 | 28 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 0 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 2 |
Saints won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.23 expected points added per play vs -0.33.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NO | NO 25 | 13 | 46 | 6:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | ARI | ARI 37 | 6 | 50 | 3:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 3 | NO | NO 25 | 13 | 58 | 6:28 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | ARI | ARI 25 | 5 | 7 | 1:15 | Punt | |
| 5 | NO | NO 29 | 8 | 71 | 3:59 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | ARI | ARI 36 | 10 | 51 | 3:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | NO | NO 25 | 8 | 21 | 2:29 | Defensive touchdown | |
| 8 | ARI | ARI 21 | 4 | 7 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 9 | NO | NO 20 | 7 | 60 | 1:50 | End of half | |
| 10 | ARI | ARI 25 | 7 | 21 | 2:06 | Punt | |
| 11 | NO | NO 17 | 7 | 32 | 3:55 | Interception | |
| 12 | ARI | ARI 21 | 4 | 9 | 1:27 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | NO | ARI 30 | 6 | 30 | 2:07 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | ARI | ARI 25 | 10 | 43 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 15 | NO | NO 25 | 9 | 75 | 3:54 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | ARI | ARI 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:30 | Punt | |
| 17 | NO | NO 29 | 4 | 8 | 2:14 | Punt | |
| 18 | ARI | ARI 21 | 7 | 52 | 2:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 19 | NO | NO 27 | 4 | 73 | 1:25 | Touchdown | |
| 20 | ARI | ARI 25 | 5 | -4 | 1:46 | Punt | |
| 21 | NO | ARI 49 | 3 | 5 | 3:32 | End of game | |
| 22 | NO | ARI 49 | 2 | 33 | 1:32 | Turnover on downs |
0 of 22 drives ended in points. Longest march: Saints gained 75 scrimmage yards over 9 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- NO -12.5
- Closing total
- 47.5
- ARI moneyline
- +467
- NO moneyline
- -625
Saints closed -12.5 and covered, winning by 22.
Total closed 47.5; the game landed 40 — under by 7.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Superdome
- Roof / surface
- dome · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- Indoors — weather neutralized
- Referee
- Clay Martin
- Rest
- ARI 7 days · NO 7 days
- Coaches
- Kliff Kingsbury vs Sean Payton