2019 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2019 · Arrowhead Stadium
Green Bay PackersWinner
31
Kansas City Chiefs
24
Green Bay Packers 31–24. Biggest swing: Q4 8:14, KC +22% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(8:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 8:14KC +22% win prob(8:14) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 33-A.Jones for 67 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 1:24GB +15% win prob(1:24) 25-L.McCoy up the middle to KC 26 for 1 yard (95-T.Lancaster). FUMBLES (95-T.Lancaster), RECOVERED by GB-95-T.Lancaster at KC 27.
- Q3 · 2:15GB +9% win prob(2:15) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers sacked at KC 17 for -10 yards (90-E.Ogbah).
- Q4 · 9:09KC +8% win prob(9:09) (Shotgun) 8-M.Moore pass incomplete short middle to 87-T.Kelce. PENALTY on GB-38-T.Williams, Illegal Use of Hands, 5 yards, enforced at GB 8 - No Play.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Packers | Chiefs |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 61 | 58 |
| Total yards | 377 (edge) | 337 |
| Yards per play | 6.2 (edge) | 5.8 |
| Expected points added / play | 0.29 (edge) | 0.09 |
| Success rate | 51% (edge) | 47% |
| Dropback rate | 67% | 67% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.39 (edge) | 0.18 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.09 (edge) | -0.10 |
| Third downs | 8/12 (edge) | 6/11 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 5 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 20 | 20 |
| Sacks taken | 5 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Packers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.29 expected points added per play vs 0.09.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GB | GB 26 | 12 | 84 | 6:17 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | KC | KC 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:35 | Punt | |
| 3 | GB | GB 18 | 4 | -13 | 1:54 | Punt | |
| 4 | KC | GB 30 | 4 | -2 | 1:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | GB | GB 40 | 5 | 60 | 2:02 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | KC | KC 11 | 14 | 89 | 6:14 | Touchdown | |
| 7 | GB | GB 21 | 6 | 1 | 2:51 | Punt | |
| 8 | KC | KC 38 | 6 | 62 | 1:50 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | GB | GB 25 | 8 | 21 | 2:15 | Punt | |
| 10 | KC | KC 16 | 11 | 74 | 3:03 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | GB | GB 25 | 6 | 6 | 0:56 | End of half | |
| 12 | KC | KC 25 | 10 | 16 | 4:56 | Punt | |
| 13 | GB | GB 11 | 15 | 77 | 8:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | KC | KC 25 | 2 | 1 | 0:12 | Fumble | |
| 15 | GB | KC 27 | 6 | 27 | 2:22 | Touchdown | |
| 16 | KC | KC 25 | 12 | 70 | 4:56 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | GB | GB 25 | 4 | 75 | 0:59 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | KC | KC 22 | 8 | 18 | 2:58 | Punt | |
| 19 | GB | GB 2 | 11 | 39 | 5:04 | End of game |
0 of 19 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chiefs gained 89 scrimmage yards over 14 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- GB -5
- Closing total
- 48
- GB moneyline
- -230
- KC moneyline
- +202
Packers closed -5 and covered, winning by 7.
Total closed 48; the game landed 55 — over by 7.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Arrowhead Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · astroturf
- Kickoff weather
- 54°F, wind 5 mph
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- GB 7 days · KC 10 days
- Coaches
- Matt LaFleur vs Andy Reid