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2019 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2019 · Soldier Field

Los Angeles ChargersWinner

17

Chicago Bears

16

CHI -3.5 upsetU 41 ✓

Los Angeles Chargers 17–16 — decided on the final possessions. Biggest swing: Q4 0:04, LAC +69% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3CHILAC
Q4 · 0:04LAC CHI CHI ball · 2nd & 11CHI 69%

(:04) 15-E.Pineiro 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q4 · 0:04LAC +69% win prob(:04) 15-E.Pineiro 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-48-P.Scales, Holder-16-P.O'Donnell.
  2. Q4 · 9:32LAC +20% win prob(9:32) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at CHI 33 for -9 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by LAC-54-M.Ingram at CHI 28. 54-M.Ingram to CHI 26 for 2 yards (70-B.Massie).
  3. Q4 · 13:07LAC +18% win prob(13:07) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky pass deep right intended for 80-T.Burton INTERCEPTED by 26-C.Hayward at LAC 43. 26-C.Hayward pushed ob at CHI 20 for 37 yards (65-C.Whitehair).
  4. Q4 · 2:44LAC +17% win prob(2:44) (Shotgun) 10-M.Trubisky sacked at LAC 46 for -6 yards (97-J.Bosa).

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricChargersBears
Offensive plays4275
Total yards231389 (edge)
Yards per play5.5 (edge)5.2
Expected points added / play-0.08 (edge)-0.11
Success rate40% (edge)40%
Dropback rate71%53%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)-0.02 (edge)-0.11
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.22-0.11 (edge)
Third downs2/105/13 (edge)
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)39 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps1021 (edge)
Sacks taken1 (edge)4
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Bears outgained Chargers 389–231 but lost the turnover battle 2–1. That was the game.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1LACLAC 26531:11Punt
2CHICHI 21573:03Punt
3LACLAC 334162:04Punt
4CHICHI 1511706:28Turnover on downs
5LACLAC 23311:37Interception
6CHILAC 4400:52Turnover on downs
7LACLAC 256192:17Punt
8CHICHI 266122:18Punt
9LACLAC 14451:25Punt
10CHICHI 299594:29Turnover on downs
11LACLAC 256752:04Touchdown
12CHICHI 2312702:12Turnover on downs
13CHICHI 2513756:52Touchdown
14LACLAC 2515837:29Turnover on downs
15CHICHI 206152:45Interception
16LACCHI 20462:01Turnover on downs
17CHICHI 324-41:28Fumble
18LACCHI 264141:21Touchdown
19CHICHI 1613416:00Punt
20LACLAC 15490:31Punt
21CHICHI 357441:33Turnover on downs

0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 83 scrimmage yards over 15 plays for a turnover on downs.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
CHI -3.5
Closing total
41
LAC moneyline
+163
CHI moneyline
-182

Bears closed -3.5 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.

Total closed 41; the game landed 33 — under by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Soldier Field
Roof / surface
outdoors · grass
Kickoff weather
52°F, wind 9 mph
Referee
Bradley Rogers
Rest
LAC 7 days · CHI 7 days
Coaches
Anthony Lynn vs Matt Nagy