2019 Week 8 · Mon, Oct 28, 2019 · Heinz Field
Miami Dolphins
14
Pittsburgh SteelersWinner
27
Pittsburgh Steelers 27–14. Biggest swing: Q1 7:39, MIA +17% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(7:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass incomplete short middle to 13-J.Washington (33-J.Wiltz).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q1 · 7:39MIA +17% win prob(7:39) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass incomplete short middle to 13-J.Washington (33-J.Wiltz).
- Q2 · 0:26PIT +17% win prob(:26) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass short middle to 18-D.Johnson for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 1:41PIT +16% win prob(1:41) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 17-A.Hurns for 12 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q3 · 3:23PIT +15% win prob(3:23) (Shotgun) 2-M.Rudolph pass deep left to 19-J.Smith-Schuster for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Dolphins | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 56 | 67 |
| Total yards | 231 | 394 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 4.1 | 5.9 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.24 | 0.05 (edge) |
| Success rate | 39% (edge) | 34% |
| Dropback rate | 73% | 57% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.17 | 0.10 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.42 | 0.00 (edge) |
| Third downs | 3/8 | 6/13 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 0 | 9 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 15 | 19 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 4 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 4 | 1 (edge) |
Steelers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.05 expected points added per play vs -0.24.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIA | MIA 23 | 5 | 2 | 0:59 | Punt | |
| 2 | PIT | PIT 19 | 2 | 1 | 1:06 | Interception | |
| 3 | MIA | PIT 26 | 5 | 26 | 2:00 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | PIT | PIT 30 | 8 | 38 | 3:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | MIA | MIA 37 | 12 | 68 | 6:00 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | PIT | PIT 24 | 10 | 15 | 4:23 | Punt | |
| 7 | MIA | MIA 30 | 6 | 29 | 3:06 | Punt | |
| 8 | PIT | PIT 6 | 12 | 70 | 6:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | MIA | MIA 29 | 5 | 10 | 1:32 | Interception | |
| 10 | PIT | 50 | 7 | 65 | 0:56 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | MIA | MIA 27 | 2 | 0 | 0:17 | End of half | |
| 12 | PIT | PIT 25 | 9 | 39 | 3:37 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | MIA | MIA 44 | 3 | 0 | 0:20 | Interception | |
| 14 | PIT | PIT 3 | 13 | 107 | 7:47 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | MIA | MIA 31 | 7 | 22 | 2:58 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | PIT | PIT 47 | 6 | 43 | 3:17 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | MIA | MIA 25 | 7 | 39 | 2:55 | Fumble | |
| 18 | PIT | PIT 27 | 4 | 8 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 19 | MIA | MIA 28 | 1 | -6 | 0:10 | Fumble | |
| 20 | PIT | MIA 22 | 4 | -1 | 1:41 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | MIA | MIA 25 | 9 | 40 | 2:35 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | PIT | PIT 35 | 4 | 9 | 1:07 | Punt | |
| 23 | MIA | MIA 29 | 5 | 1 | 1:50 | End of game |
0 of 23 drives ended in points. Longest march: Steelers gained 107 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- PIT -14
- Closing total
- 44
- MIA moneyline
- +491
- PIT moneyline
- -630
Steelers closed -14, won by 13 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 44; the game landed 41 — under by 3.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Heinz Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 59°F, wind 2 mph
- Referee
- Ronald Torbert
- Rest
- MIA 8 days · PIT 15 days
- Coaches
- Brian Flores vs Mike Tomlin