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2019 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2019 · Ford Field

New York Giants

26

Detroit LionsWinner

31

DET -6.5 no coverO 49 ✓Dome

Detroit Lions 31–26. Biggest swing: Q1 7:20, NYG +15% win probability on one snap.

The game in one curve — scrub to replay it

Win probability

0255075100End Q1End Q2End Q3DETNYG
Q1 · 7:20NYG DET NYG ball · 1st & 10DET 69%

(7:20) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 19 for -10 yards (40-J.Davis). FUMBLES (40-J.Davis) [40-J.Davis], RECOVERED by DET-42-D.Kennard at NYG 13. 42-D.Kennard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

Market-anchored home win probability, play by play. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest momentum swings — tap one to jump there.

Highest-leverage plays

  1. Q1 · 7:20NYG +15% win prob(7:20) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones sacked at NYG 19 for -10 yards (40-J.Davis). FUMBLES (40-J.Davis) [40-J.Davis], RECOVERED by DET-42-D.Kennard at NYG 13. 42-D.Kennard for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  2. Q2 · 4:45DET +12% win prob(4:45) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep right to 86-D.Slayton for 28 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  3. Q1 · 8:46NYG +10% win prob(8:46) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right intended for 11-M.Jones INTERCEPTED by 20-Ja.Jenkins at NYG 5. 20-Ja.Jenkins to NYG 15 for 10 yards (19-K.Golladay).
  4. Q3 · 4:59DET +8% win prob(4:59) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass short right to 88-E.Engram for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. DET-21-T.Walker was injured during the play. He is Out.

Down-to-down truth

Situational splits

MetricGiantsLions
Offensive plays6859
Total yards371378 (edge)
Yards per play5.56.4 (edge)
Expected points added / play-0.020.08 (edge)
Success rate44% (edge)36%
Dropback rate68%61%
Dropback efficiency (EPA/play)0.010.39 (edge)
Rush efficiency (EPA/play)-0.09 (edge)-0.40
Third downs7/12 (edge)8/14
Red-zone trips → TDs0 → 00 → 0
Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass)57 (edge)
First downs gained on snaps21 (edge)16
Sacks taken3 (edge)4
Turnovers1 (edge)2

Lions won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.08 expected points added per play vs -0.02.

Possession by possession

Drive chart

#TeamStartPlaysScrim ydsClockResult
1NYGNYG 196182:11Punt
2DETDET 138474:18Interception
3NYGNYG 153-21:19Defensive touchdown
4NYGNYG 14591:40Punt
5DETDET 297763:01Touchdown
6NYGNYG 1212985:04Touchdown
7DETDET 2510554:18Turnover on downs
8NYGNYG 439573:30Touchdown
9DETDET 2515464:19Turnover on downs
10NYGNYG 34300:20End of half
11DETDET 2512755:09Touchdown
12NYGNYG 2212634:57Touchdown
13DETDET 25571:46Punt
14NYGNYG 258273:22Punt
15DETDET 206802:34Touchdown
16NYGNYG 912525:47Turnover on downs
17DETDET 393-11:23Fumble
18NYGDET 386241:35Turnover on downs
19DETDET 144-71:06Punt
20NYG505251:02Touchdown
21DETDET 49301:19End of game

0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Giants gained 98 scrimmage yards over 12 plays for a touchdown.

Box score unavailable

Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.

Closing number vs result

Betting context

Closing spread
DET -6.5
Closing total
49
NYG moneyline
+232
DET moneyline
-267

Lions closed -6.5, won by 5 — but didn't cover.

Total closed 49; the game landed 57 — over by 8.0.

Conditions and crew

Game environment

Venue
Ford Field
Roof / surface
dome · fieldturf
Kickoff weather
Indoors — weather neutralized
Referee
Scott Novak
Rest
NYG 7 days · DET 7 days
Coaches
Pat Shurmur vs Matt Patricia