2019 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2019 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Seattle SeahawksWinner
27
Atlanta Falcons
20
Seattle Seahawks 27–20. Biggest swing: Q2 15:00, SEA +5% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(15:00) 3-M.Bryant 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-K.Redfern.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 15:00SEA +5% win prob(15:00) 3-M.Bryant 51 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Harris, Holder-9-K.Redfern.
- Q4 · 12:57SEA +4% win prob(12:57) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 24-D.Freeman to SEA 1 for 7 yards (27-M.Blair; 50-K.Wright). FUMBLES (27-M.Blair), RECOVERED by SEA-54-B.Wagner at SEA 1. 54-B.Wagner to SEA 6 for 5 yards (24-D.Freeman; 81-A.Hooper).
- Q2 · 11:51ATL +4% win prob(11:51) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass short middle to 14-DK.Metcalf for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q1 · 15:00ATL +4% win prob(15:00) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep middle to 17-M.Turner to SEA 46 for 21 yards (27-D.Kazee) [97-G.Jarrett].
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Seahawks | Falcons |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 53 | 71 |
| Total yards | 324 | 512 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 6.1 | 7.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.20 (edge) | 0.11 |
| Success rate | 57% (edge) | 54% |
| Dropback rate | 45% | 76% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.30 (edge) | 0.21 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.13 (edge) | -0.22 |
| Third downs | 3/9 | 3/9 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 8 (edge) | 6 |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 | 30 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 | 2 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 3 |
Falcons outgained Seahawks 512–324 but lost the turnover battle 3–0. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | SEA 25 | 10 | 51 | 3:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | ATL | ATL 18 | 8 | 20 | 3:17 | Punt | |
| 3 | SEA | SEA 26 | 6 | 22 | 2:52 | Punt | |
| 4 | ATL | ATL 10 | 9 | 62 | 5:13 | Turnover on downs | |
| 5 | SEA | SEA 41 | 7 | 59 | 3:08 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | ATL | ATL 25 | 6 | 20 | 2:44 | Interception | |
| 7 | SEA | ATL 46 | 8 | 46 | 4:17 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | ATL | ATL 25 | 8 | 40 | 2:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | SEA | SEA 43 | 10 | 62 | 2:00 | Touchdown | |
| 10 | ATL | ATL 25 | 5 | 22 | 0:27 | Fumble | |
| 11 | ATL | ATL 25 | 9 | 77 | 4:06 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | SEA | SEA 24 | 5 | -5 | 2:23 | Punt | |
| 13 | ATL | ATL 37 | 10 | 44 | 5:06 | Turnover on downs | |
| 14 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 7 | 2:16 | Punt | |
| 15 | ATL | ATL 14 | 8 | 85 | 3:26 | Fumble | |
| 16 | SEA | SEA 6 | 10 | 78 | 6:50 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | ATL | ATL 25 | 13 | 75 | 2:45 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | SEA | ATL 49 | 5 | 4 | 0:27 | Punt | |
| 19 | ATL | ATL 14 | 8 | 67 | 1:24 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | SEA | ATL 44 | 3 | 0 | 1:17 | End of game |
0 of 20 drives ended in points. Longest march: Falcons gained 85 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a fumble.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -7.5
- Closing total
- 48.5
- SEA moneyline
- -323
- ATL moneyline
- +275
Seahawks closed -7.5, won by 7 — but didn't cover.
Total closed 48.5; the game landed 47 — under by 1.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Mercedes-Benz Stadium
- Roof / surface
- open · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- —
- Referee
- Clete Blakeman
- Rest
- SEA 7 days · ATL 7 days
- Coaches
- Pete Carroll vs Dan Quinn