2019 Week 8 · Sun, Oct 27, 2019 · Nissan Stadium
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23
Tennessee TitansWinner
27
Tennessee Titans 27–23. Biggest swing: Q4 2:00, TB +20% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(2:00) (Shotgun) 25-P.Barber up the middle to TEN 33 for -1 yards (99-J.Casey, 24-K.Vaccaro).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 2:00TB +20% win prob(2:00) (Shotgun) 25-P.Barber up the middle to TEN 33 for -1 yards (99-J.Casey, 24-K.Vaccaro).
- Q4 · 6:13TB +18% win prob(6:13) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at TB 34 for -8 yards (58-H.Landry). FUMBLES (58-H.Landry), RECOVERED by TEN-58-H.Landry at TB 36. 58-H.Landry to TB 36 for no gain (71-E.Watford).
- Q2 · 0:21TEN +15% win prob(:21) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass short right to 13-M.Evans for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
- Q4 · 7:00TEN +13% win prob(7:00) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short left to 11-A.Brown for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN [50-V.Vea].
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Buccaneers | Titans |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 77 | 55 |
| Total yards | 391 (edge) | 248 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 (edge) | 4.5 |
| Expected points added / play | -0.08 (edge) | -0.18 |
| Success rate | 43% (edge) | 36% |
| Dropback rate | 69% | 65% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.10 (edge) | 0.09 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.48 (edge) | -0.70 |
| Third downs | 7/15 (edge) | 5/13 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 4 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 24 (edge) | 14 |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers | 4 | 1 (edge) |
Buccaneers outgained Titans 391–248 but lost the turnover battle 4–1. That was the game.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | TB 25 | 9 | 28 | 3:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | -5 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 3 | TB | TB 18 | 2 | 3 | 0:59 | Fumble | |
| 4 | TEN | TB 10 | 2 | 5 | 0:03 | Touchdown | |
| 5 | TB | TB 27 | 9 | 24 | 4:25 | Punt | |
| 6 | TEN | TEN 1 | 7 | 42 | 2:53 | Punt | |
| 7 | TB | TB 10 | 2 | 2 | 0:57 | Interception | |
| 8 | TEN | TB 6 | 4 | 6 | 0:16 | Touchdown | |
| 9 | TB | TB 25 | 17 | 55 | 7:33 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 1 | 1:49 | Punt | |
| 11 | TB | TEN 34 | 5 | 28 | 2:15 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | TEN | TEN 45 | 6 | 22 | 2:38 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | TB | TB 25 | 10 | 75 | 0:54 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | TEN | TEN 25 | 2 | 0 | 0:15 | End of half | |
| 15 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | 36 | 1:59 | Fumble | |
| 16 | TB | TB 44 | 5 | 58 | 1:50 | Touchdown | |
| 17 | TEN | TEN 25 | 5 | -1 | 1:34 | Punt | |
| 18 | TB | TB 20 | 9 | 37 | 4:17 | Punt | |
| 19 | TEN | TEN 8 | 10 | 31 | 4:43 | Turnover on downs | |
| 20 | TB | TB 21 | 6 | 19 | 1:48 | Punt | |
| 21 | TEN | TEN 10 | 13 | 100 | 6:54 | Touchdown | |
| 22 | TB | TB 25 | 4 | 11 | 0:52 | Fumble | |
| 23 | TEN | TB 36 | 4 | 8 | 2:22 | Turnover on downs | |
| 24 | TB | TB 28 | 9 | 39 | 1:48 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | TEN | TEN 33 | 4 | 3 | 1:11 | Punt | |
| 26 | TB | TB 24 | 3 | 12 | 0:24 | Interception | |
| 27 | TEN | TEN 25 | 1 | 0 | 0:18 | End of game |
0 of 27 drives ended in points. Longest march: Titans gained 100 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- TEN -2
- Closing total
- 45.5
- TB moneyline
- +110
- TEN moneyline
- -122
Titans closed -2 and covered, winning by 4.
Total closed 45.5; the game landed 50 — over by 4.5.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Nissan Stadium
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 59°F, wind 3 mph
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- TB 14 days · TEN 7 days
- Coaches
- Bruce Arians vs Mike Vrabel