2019 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2019 · Empower Field at Mile High
Cleveland Browns
19
Denver BroncosWinner
24
Denver Broncos 24–19. Biggest swing: Q4 4:09, CLE +23% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(4:09) 24-N.Chubb left tackle to DEN 28 for -3 yards (31-J.Simmons).
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 4:09CLE +23% win prob(4:09) 24-N.Chubb left tackle to DEN 28 for -3 yards (31-J.Simmons).
- Q4 · 5:23DEN +19% win prob(5:23) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass short left to 13-O.Beckham pushed ob at DEN 34 for 39 yards (31-J.Simmons).
- Q2 · 12:48DEN +16% win prob(12:48) 2-B.Allen pass short middle to 87-N.Fant for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN [54-O.Vernon].
- Q2 · 6:20CLE +14% win prob(6:20) (Shotgun) 2-B.Allen pass short right to 11-D.Spencer to DEN 26 for 2 yards (53-J.Schobert). FUMBLES (53-J.Schobert), RECOVERED by CLE-21-D.Ward at DEN 24. 21-D.Ward to DEN 18 for 6 yards (68-E.Wilkinson).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Browns | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 73 | 40 |
| Total yards | 351 (edge) | 305 |
| Yards per play | 4.8 | 7.6 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.03 | 0.03 (edge) |
| Success rate | 38% | 40% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 63% | 63% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.20 (edge) | 0.02 |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.43 | 0.06 (edge) |
| Third downs | 6/15 (edge) | 3/8 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 5 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 18 (edge) | 11 |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 0 (edge) | 1 |
Broncos won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.03 expected points added per play vs -0.03.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DEN | DEN 25 | 5 | 7 | 1:36 | Punt | |
| 2 | CLE | CLE 17 | 6 | 16 | 2:28 | Punt | |
| 3 | DEN | DEN 37 | 10 | 63 | 4:47 | Touchdown | |
| 4 | CLE | CLE 25 | 10 | 18 | 4:24 | Punt | |
| 5 | DEN | DEN 13 | 4 | -4 | 1:37 | Punt | |
| 6 | CLE | DEN 40 | 5 | 19 | 2:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | DEN | DEN 25 | 3 | 75 | 0:14 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | CLE | CLE 24 | 10 | 64 | 5:20 | Turnover on downs | |
| 9 | DEN | DEN 22 | 3 | 2 | 1:03 | Fumble | |
| 10 | CLE | DEN 18 | 6 | 9 | 2:22 | Turnover on downs | |
| 11 | DEN | DEN 32 | 6 | 43 | 2:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | CLE | CLE 25 | 14 | 58 | 1:32 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | DEN | DEN 25 | 2 | -7 | 0:15 | End of half | |
| 14 | CLE | CLE 25 | 5 | 9 | 1:28 | Punt | |
| 15 | DEN | DEN 20 | 4 | -6 | 2:01 | Punt | |
| 16 | CLE | CLE 48 | 11 | 32 | 6:15 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | DEN | DEN 5 | 8 | 95 | 4:10 | Touchdown | |
| 18 | CLE | CLE 24 | 11 | 66 | 5:19 | Touchdown | |
| 19 | DEN | DEN 25 | 7 | 20 | 3:26 | Punt | |
| 20 | CLE | CLE 12 | 8 | 60 | 4:02 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | DEN | DEN 28 | 5 | 17 | 3:19 | End of game |
0 of 21 drives ended in points. Longest march: Broncos gained 95 scrimmage yards over 8 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- CLE -4
- Closing total
- 39
- CLE moneyline
- -194
- DEN moneyline
- +173
Browns closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 39; the game landed 43 — over by 4.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 55°F, wind 4 mph
- Referee
- Bill Vinovich
- Rest
- CLE 7 days · DEN 7 days
- Coaches
- Freddie Kitchens vs Vic Fangio