For the complete documentation index, see llms.txt. Markdown variants of the ranked boards (dynasty and fantasy rankings for NFL, NBA, MLB and CFB) are available by appending .md to those URLs or by sending Accept: text/markdown; other pages answer 404.
DYNATYZE
DYNATYZE
Loading
Game Center
polling · 1800s tick · as of 12:42 AM ET · 16 to play
Dallas Cowboys 37, Giants 18 — and it was over early.
It turned at Q2 0:39, 3rd and 10, on X.Woods — 14.5 win-probability points to the Cowboys on one snap, the largest move of the game.
The snaps that bent it
The biggest swing of the game · Q2 0:39 · 3rd and 10
X.Woods
Cowboys
(:39) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep right intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 25-X.Woods at DAL 32. 25-X.Woods to NYG 39 for 29 yards (70-K.Zeitler). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was inbounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
Cowboys closed -6.5 and covered, winning by 19.
Dallas Cowboys 37–18 — never really in doubt late. Biggest swing: Q2 0:39, Cowboys +14.5% win probability on one snap.
14.5
win-probability points on one snap
The largest move of the game. The two below are drawn against it.
B.JarwinCowboysQ2 1:05(1:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Jarwin for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
12.0pts
A.CooperCowboysQ4 8:05(8:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 19-A.Cooper for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
10.6pts
What separated them
Every snap
Cowboys won this one — +0.11 expected points per snap, against Giants at -0.24 expected points per snap.
Cowboysthe gap went the way the scoreboard did
Staying on schedule
Cowboys won this one — 54% of snaps stayed on schedule, against Giants at 41% of snaps stayed on schedule.
Cowboysthe gap went the way the scoreboard did
Throwing the ball
Cowboys won this one — +0.18 expected points per dropback, against Giants at -0.31 expected points per dropback.
Cowboysthe gap went the way the scoreboard did
Explosive plays
Cowboys won this one — 7 chunk plays, against Giants at 4 chunk plays.
Cowboysthe gap went the way the scoreboard did
Note
1 other measure was inside a third of the league's own spread — two clubs doing the same thing, so it is not shown.
Expected points are not on file for every man in this box score, so a side without one names nobody rather than naming its yardage leader.
No skill-position workloads on file for this game.
Drawn from the weekly play-by-play file, which paints on the Monday 4:00 AM ET sync after the game.
The model against the market, the momentum underneath, every drive — scrub to replay it
How the game was won
The model and the market were 17.7 win-probability points apart on the average play, and 35 apart at the widest — with the model the more convinced about Giants.
MarketModelmodel higher on Giantshigher on Cowboys176 of 182 plays carry both curves
(:39) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep right intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 25-X.Woods at DAL 32. 25-X.Woods to NYG 39 for 29 yards (70-K.Zeitler). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was inbounds ruling, and
Swing −14.5 for GiantsExpected points −2.21 for GiantsThe model had Giants 21 points higher than the market did.play 82
The solid line is the betting market's home win probability; the dashed line is the play-by-play model's. The shaded band between them is the disagreement — emerald where the model liked the home team more, red where it liked the away team more. Drag across the curve or use arrow keys to replay the game; gold diamonds mark the biggest swings.
Highest-leverage plays
2nd · 0:39DAL +14% win prob(:39) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep right intended for 86-D.Slayton INTERCEPTED by 25-X.Woods at DAL 32. 25-X.Woods to NYG 39 for 29 yards (70-K.Zeitler). The Replay Official reviewed the runner was inbounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.
2nd · 1:05NYG +12% win prob(1:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 89-B.Jarwin for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
4th · 8:05NYG +11% win prob(8:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 19-A.Cooper for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
2nd · 13:49NYG +10% win prob(13:49) (Shotgun) 8-D.Jones pass deep left to 15-G.Tate pushed ob at DAL 1 for 17 yards (31-B.Jones).
2nd · 2:53DAL +9% win prob(2:53) 2-A.Rosas 25 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, Holder-9-R.Dixon.
4th · 12:47NYG +8% win prob(12:47) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass short right to 13-M.Gallup for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
SettledThe modelled figures are the league play-by-play model's, not ours.
How the points landed
The margin ledger
B.Maher's 52-yard field goal with 0:03 left in the 2nd put Dallas Cowboys ahead for good. The lead never changed over the 6 scores that followed.
Lead
1st13:25A.Rosas·21-yd field goal21-yard field goalholder R.Dixon · snap Z.DeOssie+30–3
1st8:23B.Maher·35-yd field goal35-yard field goalholder C.Jones · snap L.Ladouceur+33–3
2nd12:00C.Latimer·1-yd TD catch1-yard touchdown catchfrom D.Jonesfrom D.Jones · kick no good, hit right upright+63–9
2nd2:53A.Rosas·25-yd field goal25-yard field goalholder R.Dixon · snap Z.DeOssie+33–12
Cowboys ahead 8–0 on categories, including the biggest gap of the duel — sacks taken.
Expected points added, per play
The centre line is an average play. A bar to the right of it is a side that gained more than the situation was worth; a bar to the left is a side that lost ground. All six bars share one scale, ±0.35 points.
Every snapexpected points added per play, all downs
+0.11Cowboys: +0.11 expected points added per play
−0.24Giants: −0.24 expected points added per play
Dropping backexpected points added per dropback
+0.18Cowboys: +0.18 expected points added per play
−0.31Giants: −0.31 expected points added per play
Running itexpected points added per rush
+0.02Cowboys: +0.02 expected points added per play
−0.06Giants: −0.06 expected points added per play
Neither side “wins” volume or play-calling mix, so neither is drawn as a duel: Cowboys ran 65 snaps at a 55% dropback rate against Giants’s 68 at 74%. Red-zone trips: Cowboys 5, Giants 5.
NoteCowboys won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.11 expected points added per play vs -0.24.
Derived from the play-by-play, no model
The Read
8 of 8 readings cleared their snap floor and were tested against four comparisons: this week's whole slate, the team's own season, the week before, and the team's own ordinary spread. Every bar below is set in that team's own week-to-week swing, never in league points — one team's swing runs 1.6 to 3.1 times the entire league's spread.
lowest in the league that weekAgainst the weekFourth Down
DAL's fourth-and-short go rate, 0.0%, was the lowest of the 20 team-games charted in week 9 — 25.0 points clear of the next team along.
3 fourth-and-short calls this game, floor 3 — 10 of their games behind the ruler, and their own week-to-week swing is 20.5 points.
The season-grain rooms, pointed at this one game
Was this normal for them?
8 of 8 readings cleared their snap floor. Every deviation below is measured in that team's own game-to-game swing, not in league points — because one game's swing runs from 1.6 to 3.1 times the whole league's spread.
their week-to-week swingall 32 teams
upper band = their week-to-week swing · lower rule = all 32 teams · scale -19 pts to 14 pts
leaned — got home · +7.7 vs their 14.3%, and they swing ±5.2 week to week (+1.48× that swing) · 50 dropbacks
Giants13.9%
right on their number · −0.5 vs their 14.4%, and they swing ±6.4 week to week (−0.08× that swing) · 36 dropbacks
Play-action rate
Charted from 2022. The columns exist for 2019 and are entirely empty, which is not a season of data.
Blitz rate sent
Charted from 2022. The columns exist for 2019 and are entirely empty, which is not a season of data.
NoteDAL's sack or hit rate was the night's one real departure: 22.0%, 7.7 points above their season mean of 14.3% and 1.5 times their own 5.2-point weekly swing.
The Game Day Roster
Who was out, who dressed and never took a snap, and who was on the field how much. Game-day list and snap counts from the weekly roster and snap feeds. Practice-squad and injured-reserve players are not shown — they were never on the game-day list.
Dallas Cowboys
46 dressed · 7 inactive · 2 never used
70Zack MartinG · Every snap100%69 snaps
52Connor WilliamsG · Every snap100%69 snaps
77Tyron SmithT · Every snap100%69 snaps
71La'el CollinsT · Every snap100%69 snaps
72Travis FrederickC · Every snap100%69 snaps
4Dak PrescottQB · Every snap100%69 snaps
13Michael GallupWR · Full-time91%63 snaps
19Amari CooperWR · Full-time86%59 snaps
21Ezekiel ElliottRB · Full-time83%57 snaps
82Jason WittenTE · Full-time80%55 snaps
18Randall CobbWR · Heavy rotation75%52 snaps
89Blake JarwinTE · Rotational38%26 snaps
20Tony PollardRB · Situational19%13 snaps
10Tavon AustinWR · Situational16%11 snaps
49Jamize OlawaleFB · Situational9%6 snaps
83Ventell BryantWR · Situational3%2 snaps
86Dalton SchultzTE · Situational1%1 snap
Inactive · 7
Adam RedmondCJoe JacksonDETrysten HillDTLeighton Vander EschLBCameron FlemingTDevin SmithWRCed WilsonWR
Snap, route and expected-points data starts in 2021. This game is older than the usage record, so there is no opportunity read for it — the box score above is the complete picture we hold.
The field map
Every snap, where it happened
The whole game as one hundred yards. The Giants attack right, the Cowboys attack left, so a change of possession is a reversal you can see. Reading down is the order the snaps were played — not the clock, so a two-minute drill gets the same room as any other fourteen snaps. This game is final.
Cowboys←Giants→
Q1Q2Q3Q4
D.Prescott pass+16% win probabilitymoment 4 of 4
(8:05) (Shotgun) 4-D.Prescott pass deep middle to 19-A.Cooper for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Q4 8:05 · Cowboys · 3rd & 12 at NYG 45 · gained 45 · +5.66 EP · +16.2% win probability
175 snaps placed · 9 without a recorded yard line, left off the map · 4 marked moments — the largest win-probability swings, one per drive.
The Film Room · post-game
Post-game film: 184 plays across 23 drives, personnel groupings on 184 snaps. Everything here paints once the weekly sync ingests the game — there is no live play-level feed in this product, so nothing on this page updates while a game is being played.
Possession by possession
The field rail
11 of 23 drives ended in points. The longest march was DAL moving 89 yards from the DAL 11 for a touchdown. Each bar is the ground a drive actually covered; NYG attacks right, DAL attacks left. Hatching marks a trip inside the twenty.
Every snap
Play stream
184 of 184 plays
Team
Quarter
Down
Play type
Expected points added
Event
Charted
Plays shown
184
EPA per play
-0.07
Success rate
46%
Yards
700
Who was on the field
Personnel groupings
Offensive grouping on every pass and run. A group needs five snaps in this game before it gets a number — under that the sample is a coin flip and the cell reads a dash instead. The names of the eleven on the field are only recorded from 2023 onward, so this game gives the grouping without the roster.
Giants1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR49-0.2476%
Cowboys1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR49+0.1857%
Giants1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR12-0.2658%
Cowboys1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR10-0.4230%
Cowboys2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR4——
Giants2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR4——
Cowboys2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR2——
Giants1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR1——
Giants2 RB, 2 TE, 0 WR1——
Giants1 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR1——
snapsepapass rate
184 plays · ranked by the win probability each one moved
Every play
Ball
When
Play
Only
Who
184 plays
Bar length is win probability the play moved
1st quarter42 plays
Intercepted2 plays
Cowboys0Giants3
Field goal4 plays, from the Cowboys 8 to the Cowboys 3
Cowboys3Giants3
Field goal13 plays, from the Cowboys 25 to the Giants 12
Punt5 plays, from the Giants 26 to the Giants 32
No good12 plays, from the Cowboys 26 to the Giants 33
The period ended5 plays, from the Giants 44 to the Cowboys 27
2nd quarter49 plays
Cowboys3Giants9
Touchdown8 plays, from the Cowboys 19 to the Cowboys 1
Fumble lost7 plays, from the Cowboys 24 to the Giants 37
Cowboys3Giants12
Field goal13 plays, from the Giants 20 to the Cowboys 7
Drive ended4 plays, from the Cowboys 25 to the Cowboys 43
Cowboys9Giants12
Cowboys10Giants12
Touchdown4 plays, from the Cowboys 49 to the Giants 42
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldFour linemen, two linebackers and five backsRoute runGoIn the boxFive defendersRushing the passerThreePressure (charted)The passer was pressuredTime to throw3.2 seconds
Intercepted3 plays
Cowboys13Giants12
Field goal6 plays, from the Giants 39 to the Giants 34
3rd quarter37 plays
Punt9 plays, from the Giants 48 to the Cowboys 39
Punt5 plays, from the Cowboys 26 to the Cowboys 34
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldFour linemen, one linebacker and six backsIn the boxThree defenders
Fumble lost3 plays, from the Giants 35 to the Giants 39
Cowboys16Giants12
Field goal7 plays, from the Giants 49 to the Giants 10
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldFour linemen, one linebacker and six backsRoute runHitchIn the boxFive defendersRushing the passerFourPressure (charted)The passer was kept cleanTime to throw3.3 seconds
Cowboys16Giants15
Field goal9 plays, from the Giants 48 to the Cowboys 8
The period ended4 plays, from the Cowboys 25 to the Cowboys 40
4th quarter56 plays
FormationEmpty backfieldOffense on the fieldOne back, two tight ends and two receiversDefense on the fieldThree linemen, four linebackers and four backsRoute runGoCoverageCover 3, three deepMan or zoneZoneIn the boxSeven defendersRushing the passerFourPressure (charted)The passer was kept cleanTime to throw2.5 seconds
Cowboys22Giants15
Cowboys23Giants15
Touchdown9 plays, from midfield to the Giants 15
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldFour linemen, two linebackers and five backsRoute runScreenCoverageCover 3, three deepMan or zoneZoneIn the boxSeven defendersRushing the passerFourPressure (charted)The passer was kept cleanTime to throw2.0 seconds
Cowboys23Giants18
Field goal6 plays, from the Giants 24 to the Cowboys 11
FormationShotgunOffense on the fieldOne back, one tight end and three receiversDefense on the fieldTwo linemen, three linebackers and six backsRoute runDigCoverageCover 6, quarter-quarter-halfMan or zoneZoneIn the boxSix defendersRushing the passerFourPressure (charted)The passer was kept cleanTime to throw3.2 seconds
Cowboys29Giants18
Cowboys30Giants18
Touchdown11 plays, from the Cowboys 11 to the Giants 43
Punt6 plays, from the Giants 21 to the Giants 22
Punt6 plays
Cowboys36Giants18
Touchdown15 plays, from the Giants 15 to the Cowboys 24
Cowboys37Giants18
The period ended2 plays
Win probability is the league play-by-play model, 98.5% of plays · a dash means none was published