2019 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2019 · StubHub Center
Green Bay Packers
11
Los Angeles ChargersWinner
26
Los Angeles Chargers 26–11. Biggest swing: Q2 7:24, LAC +12% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(7:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 81-G.Allison to GB 27 for 13 yards (49-D.Tranquill). PENALTY on LAC-23-R.Jenkins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at GB 27.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q2 · 7:24LAC +12% win prob(7:24) (Shotgun) 12-A.Rodgers pass short left to 81-G.Allison to GB 27 for 13 yards (49-D.Tranquill). PENALTY on LAC-23-R.Jenkins, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at GB 27.
- Q1 · 3:40LAC +10% win prob(3:40) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short left to 81-M.Williams pushed ob at GB 13 for 56 yards (31-A.Amos).
- Q3 · 13:28LAC +7% win prob(13:28) 6-J.Scott punts 52 yards to LAC 23, Center-43-H.Bradley. 20-D.King to LAC 23 for no gain (25-W.Redmond).
- Q3 · 12:35LAC +6% win prob(12:35) (Shotgun) 17-P.Rivers pass short middle to 13-K.Allen to LAC 45 for 20 yards (38-T.Williams).
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Packers | Chargers |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 50 | 66 |
| Total yards | 186 | 443 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 3.7 | 6.7 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | -0.06 | 0.25 (edge) |
| Success rate | 46% | 58% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 78% | 47% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.08 | 0.30 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.01 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Third downs | 2/10 | 5/11 (edge) |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 0 | 6 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 14 | 24 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 3 | 2 (edge) |
| Turnovers | 0 | 0 |
Chargers won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.25 expected points added per play vs -0.06.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAC | LAC 5 | 16 | 84 | 8:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 2 | GB | GB 25 | 5 | -2 | 2:43 | Punt | |
| 3 | LAC | LAC 41 | 5 | 52 | 3:09 | Turnover on downs | |
| 4 | GB | GB 30 | 8 | 15 | 3:27 | Punt | |
| 5 | LAC | LAC 16 | 6 | 28 | 2:50 | Punt | |
| 6 | GB | GB 18 | 10 | 37 | 5:26 | Punt | |
| 7 | LAC | LAC 8 | 13 | 86 | 4:21 | Turnover on downs | |
| 8 | GB | GB 23 | 5 | 2 | 1:43 | Punt | |
| 9 | LAC | LAC 23 | 8 | 52 | 3:36 | Turnover on downs | |
| 10 | GB | GB 11 | 7 | 8 | 2:25 | Punt | |
| 11 | LAC | GB 27 | 7 | 27 | 3:20 | Touchdown | |
| 12 | GB | GB 40 | 9 | 24 | 3:10 | Turnover on downs | |
| 13 | LAC | LAC 25 | 12 | 75 | 5:14 | Touchdown | |
| 14 | GB | GB 25 | 11 | 77 | 4:11 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | LAC | LAC 35 | 10 | 39 | 4:11 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | GB | GB 34 | 7 | 25 | 1:04 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | LAC | LAC 41 | 2 | 0 | 1:06 | End of game |
0 of 17 drives ended in points. Longest march: Chargers gained 86 scrimmage yards over 13 plays for a turnover on downs.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- GB -4
- Closing total
- 50
- GB moneyline
- -208
- LAC moneyline
- +184
Packers closed -4 and lost outright — an upset against the closing number.
Total closed 50; the game landed 37 — under by 13.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- StubHub Center
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · grass
- Kickoff weather
- 79°F, wind 2 mph
- Referee
- Adrian Hill
- Rest
- GB 7 days · LAC 7 days
- Coaches
- Matt LaFleur vs Anthony Lynn