2019 Week 9 · Sun, Nov 3, 2019 · CenturyLink Field
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
34
Seattle SeahawksWinner
40
Seattle Seahawks 40–34. Biggest swing: Q4 0:03, TB +36% win probability on one snap.
The game in one curve — scrub to replay it
Win probability
(:03) 5-J.Myers 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
Highest-leverage plays
- Q4 · 0:03TB +36% win prob(:03) 5-J.Myers 40 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-69-T.Ott, Holder-4-M.Dickson.
- Q4 · 10:48TB +27% win prob(10:48) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston sacked at SEA 48 for -8 yards (56-M.Kendricks). FUMBLES (56-M.Kendricks) [98-R.Green], RECOVERED by SEA-98-R.Green at SEA 49. 98-R.Green to TB 15 for 36 yards (13-M.Evans).
- OT · 6:55SEA +24% win prob(6:55) (Shotgun) 3-R.Wilson pass deep left to 14-DK.Metcalf to TB 6 for 29 yards (35-J.Dean).
- Q4 · 11:42TB +20% win prob(11:42) 32-C.Carson left end to SEA 43 for 3 yards (45-D.White; 28-V.Hargreaves). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 32-C.Carson left end to SEA 42 for 2 yards (45-D.White; 28-V.Hargreaves). FUMBLES (45-D.White), RECOVERED by TB-31-J.Whitehead at SEA 45.
Down-to-down truth
Situational splits
| Metric | Buccaneers | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive plays | 72 | 69 |
| Total yards | 418 | 494 (edge) |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 7.2 (edge) |
| Expected points added / play | 0.17 | 0.21 (edge) |
| Success rate | 47% | 51% (edge) |
| Dropback rate | 65% | 70% |
| Dropback efficiency (EPA/play) | 0.28 | 0.36 (edge) |
| Rush efficiency (EPA/play) | -0.02 (edge) | -0.15 |
| Third downs | 6/14 (edge) | 2/8 |
| Red-zone trips → TDs | 0 → 0 | 0 → 0 |
| Explosive plays (10+ rush / 20+ pass) | 6 | 7 (edge) |
| First downs gained on snaps | 26 | 28 (edge) |
| Sacks taken | 2 (edge) | 3 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
Seahawks won the down-to-down efficiency fight: 0.21 expected points added per play vs 0.17.
Possession by possession
Drive chart
| # | Team | Start | Plays | Scrim yds | Clock | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | TB 25 | 9 | 66 | 3:30 | Touchdown | |
| 2 | SEA | SEA 25 | 8 | 75 | 3:07 | Touchdown | |
| 3 | TB | TB 25 | 5 | 4 | 2:05 | Punt | |
| 4 | SEA | SEA 32 | 4 | 4 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 5 | TB | TB 31 | 10 | 53 | 4:39 | Touchdown | |
| 6 | SEA | SEA 25 | 11 | 46 | 4:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 7 | TB | TB 37 | 13 | 62 | 6:31 | Touchdown | |
| 8 | SEA | SEA 25 | 6 | -2 | 1:58 | Punt | |
| 9 | TB | TB 27 | 4 | -2 | 0:51 | Punt | |
| 10 | SEA | SEA 40 | 5 | 22 | 1:14 | Touchdown | |
| 11 | TB | TB 40 | 5 | 28 | 0:29 | Turnover on downs | |
| 12 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | -9 | 1:31 | Punt | |
| 13 | TB | TB 33 | 6 | 22 | 2:40 | Punt | |
| 14 | SEA | SEA 15 | 6 | 87 | 2:46 | Touchdown | |
| 15 | TB | TB 25 | 11 | 62 | 4:45 | Turnover on downs | |
| 16 | SEA | SEA 25 | 10 | 61 | 3:52 | Turnover on downs | |
| 17 | TB | TB 24 | 5 | 8 | 2:21 | Punt | |
| 18 | SEA | SEA 31 | 3 | 6 | 0:29 | Fumble | |
| 19 | TB | SEA 45 | 3 | -4 | 0:58 | Fumble | |
| 20 | SEA | TB 15 | 6 | 11 | 2:19 | Turnover on downs | |
| 21 | TB | TB 29 | 7 | 44 | 2:57 | Turnover on downs | |
| 22 | SEA | SEA 25 | 5 | 75 | 0:57 | Touchdown | |
| 23 | TB | TB 25 | 12 | 75 | 3:39 | Touchdown | |
| 24 | SEA | SEA 25 | 7 | 48 | 0:46 | Turnover on downs | |
| 25 | SEA | SEA 25 | 11 | 70 | 3:38 | Touchdown |
0 of 25 drives ended in points. Longest march: Seahawks gained 87 scrimmage yards over 6 plays for a touchdown.
Box score unavailable
Player stat lines for this game have not been ingested yet. Scores, lines, and environment context above are complete.
Closing number vs result
Betting context
- Closing spread
- SEA -4
- Closing total
- 51
- TB moneyline
- +185
- SEA moneyline
- -209
Seahawks closed -4 and covered, winning by 6.
Total closed 51; the game landed 74 — over by 23.0.
Conditions and crew
Game environment
- Venue
- CenturyLink Field
- Roof / surface
- outdoors · fieldturf
- Kickoff weather
- 54°F, wind 6 mph
- Referee
- John Hussey
- Rest
- TB 7 days · SEA 7 days
- Coaches
- Bruce Arians vs Pete Carroll